The No. 1 seed North Carolina Tar Heels (27-6, 17-3 ACC) square off against the No. 10 NC State Wolfpack (21-14, 9-11 ACC) in the championship game of the ACC tournament on Saturday at 8:30 PM ET. The winner earns an automatic berth into the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. NC State Game Info and Odds

• Game Day: Saturday, March 16, 2024
• Game Time: 8:30 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Arena: Capital One Arena

North Carolina vs. NC State Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (76.2%)

Here's a look at some betting trends and insights for North Carolina (-10.5) versus NC State on Saturday. The total is set at 144.5 points for this game.

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North Carolina vs. NC State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• North Carolina has won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• NC State has covered 16 times in 35 games with a spread this season.
• North Carolina covers the spread when it is a 10.5-point favorite or more 53.8% of the time. That's less often than NC State covers as an underdog of 10.5 or more (100%).
• In home games, the Tar Heels own a worse record against the spread (8-7-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (7-3-0).
• The Wolfpack have been better against the spread at home (8-9-0) than on the road (4-7-0) this season.
• North Carolina's record against the spread in conference action is 13-9-0.
• NC State has 11 wins against the spread in 24 ACC games this season.

North Carolina vs. NC State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• North Carolina has come away with 22 wins in the 25 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Tar Heels have not lost in 11 games this year when favored by -530 or better on the moneyline.
• NC State is 5-10 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 33.3% of those games).
• The Wolfpack have played as a moneyline underdog of +390 or longer in only two games this season, which they split 1-1.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies North Carolina has a 84.1% chance of walking away with the win.

North Carolina vs. NC State Head-to-Head Comparison

• North Carolina outscores opponents by 11.8 points per game (scoring 81.6 per game to rank 23rd in college basketball while giving up 69.8 per contest to rank 108th in college basketball) and has a +390 scoring differential overall.
• RJ Davis leads North Carolina, scoring 21.1 points per game (13th in the nation).
• NC State's +124 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.5 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.1 points per game (105th in college basketball) while allowing 72.6 per contest (206th in college basketball).
• NC State's leading scorer, DJ Horne, ranks 156th in the nation, scoring 16.5 points per game.
• The Tar Heels are eighth in the nation at 41.2 rebounds per game. That's 7.4 more than the 33.8 their opponents average.
• Armando Bacot paces the team with 10.1 rebounds per game (14th in college basketball play).
• The Wolfpack are 189th in the nation at 35.1 rebounds per game. That's similar to the 36.0 their opponents average.
• Mohamed Diarra is 160th in college basketball with 7.2 rebounds per game, leading the Wolfpack.
• North Carolina's 101.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 40th in college basketball, and the 87.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 34th in college basketball.
• The Wolfpack rank 109th in college basketball averaging 97.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 196th, allowing 93.3 points per 100 possessions.

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