NCAAB

North Carolina vs Alabama Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
North Carolina vs Alabama Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - NCAA Tournament Sweet 16

A Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament matchup features the No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (29-7) and No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide (23-11) to determine which of the squads is heading to the West Regional final when it tips off on Thursday at Crypto.com Arena, starting at 9:39 PM ET, airing on CBS.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

North Carolina vs. Alabama Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 28, 2024
  • Game Time: 9:39 PM ET
  • TV Channel: CBS
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Arena: Crypto.com Arena

North Carolina vs. Alabama Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: North Carolina win (65.9%)

Check out the betting insights and trends below before placing a bet on Thursday's North Carolina-Alabama spread (North Carolina -4.5) or total (174.5 points).

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North Carolina vs. Alabama: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • North Carolina is 21-15-0 ATS this season.
  • Alabama is 19-15-0 ATS this season.
  • North Carolina (13-12) covers a higher percentage of games when it is favored by 4.5 points or more this season (52%) than Alabama (1-4) does as a 4.5+-point underdog (20%).
  • Against the spread, the Tar Heels have fared worse at home, covering eight times in 15 home games, and seven times in 10 road games.
  • The Crimson Tide's winning percentage against the spread at home is .688 (11-5-0). Away, it is .500 (5-5-0).

North Carolina vs. Alabama: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • North Carolina has come away with 24 wins in the 28 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
  • The Tar Heels have a win-loss record of 17-4 when favored by -192 or better by oddsmakers this year.
  • Alabama is 2-6 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 25% of those games).
  • When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +158 or longer, the Crimson Tide have gone 1-4 (20%).
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies North Carolina has a 65.8% chance of walking away with the win.

North Carolina vs. Alabama Head-to-Head Comparison

  • North Carolina averages 81.8 points per game (20th in college basketball) while giving up 70.0 per outing (112th in college basketball). It has a +426 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 11.8 points per game.
  • RJ Davis leads North Carolina, putting up 21.3 points per game (12th in college basketball).
  • Alabama outscores opponents by 9.8 points per game (posting 90.7 points per game, first in college basketball, and allowing 80.9 per contest, 355th in college basketball) and has a +334 scoring differential.
  • Mark Sears leads Alabama, scoring 21.5 points per game (10th in college basketball).
  • The 40.9 rebounds per game the Tar Heels average rank ninth in the country, and are 7.3 more than the 33.6 their opponents pull down per outing.
  • Armando Bacot leads the Tar Heels with 10.2 rebounds per game (13th in college basketball action).
  • The Crimson Tide rank 22nd in the country at 39.7 rebounds per game. That's 4.2 more than the 35.5 their opponents average.
  • Aaron Estrada is 478th in the nation with 5.4 rebounds per game, leading the Crimson Tide.
  • North Carolina ranks 29th in college basketball with 102.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 41st in college basketball defensively with 87.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • The Crimson Tide rank fifth in college basketball averaging 106.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 254th, allowing 95.2 points per 100 possessions.

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