NFL Week 10 Spread and Total Predictions for Every Game

In the NFL, you're never lacking in prediction models to try to give you an idea of what to expect in a given week, whether those models are for betting or other purposes.

Below, we're going to run through what my spread and total models say about Week 10's NFL games.

As a disclaimer, this is my own, personal betting model. I'll lay out which bets I'm willing to make based on it compared to FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL betting odds, but as always, you'll have to decide for yourself whether there's enough value for you to the plunge, as well.

The spread model is largely based on numberFire's Net Expected Points (NEP) model, which is their version of EPA. The totals model factors in things such as pace and wind speed, as well. Numbers are manually edited to reflect the players who are expected to play in a given game.

Without further ado, here's what I've got for this upcoming slate of games.

Last updated Friday at 8:25 am Eastern.

NFL Week 10 Predictions

Raiders at Broncos Prediction

Spread Prediction: Broncos -7.8

Total Prediction: 44.9

Betting Odds

Falcons vs. Colts Prediction

Spread Prediction: Colts -5.4

Total Prediction: 49.9

Betting Odds

Jaguars at Texans Prediction

Spread Prediction: Texans -1.0

Total Prediction: 40.7

Betting Odds

Thoughts: Showing value on Davis Mills ain't fun, but I do think this Houston Texans defense should be able to have success here.

Giants at Bears Prediction

Spread Prediction: Bears -3.8

Total Prediction: 45.3

Betting Odds

Thoughts: This total is crashing down due to projected 19 mph wind speeds, and my model agrees with that movement.

Ravens at Vikings Prediction

Spread Prediction: Ravens -4.1

Total Prediction: 50.3

Betting Odds

Browns at Jets Prediction

Spread Prediction: Jets -2.8

Total Prediction: 37.4

Betting Odds

Thoughts: Locked in the New York Jets -1.5 before Tuesday's firesale. Oops! Still showing value in them after the downgrades, but it suuuuuure don't feel great.

Saints at Panthers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Panthers -4.4

Total Prediction: 40.7

Betting Odds

Bills at Dolphins Prediction

Spread Prediction: Bills -9.8

Total Prediction: 51.9

Betting Odds

Patriots at Buccaneers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Bucs -1.2

Total Prediction: 44.5

Betting Odds

Cardinals at Seahawks Prediction

Spread Prediction: Seahawks -6.9

Total Prediction: 49.1

Betting Odds

Thoughts: This Seattle Seahawks offense is shredding, and the Arizona Cardinals' offense seems to be figuring things out. Thus, I do like the over here.

Rams at 49ers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Rams -4.2

Total Prediction: 50.2

Betting Odds

Thoughts: Projecting Mac Jones to start until further notice.

Lions at Commanders Prediction

Spread Prediction: Lions -7.6

Total Prediction: 51.1

Betting Odds

Steelers at Chargers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Chargers -3.1

Total Prediction: 47.3

Betting Odds

Eagles at Packers Prediction

Spread Prediction: Packers -3.9

Total Prediction: 51.4

Betting Odds

Thoughts: My biggest disagreement with the market is on this total. I just can't get a total this low when it's two offenses as efficient as these.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.