MLB SGP Bets to Target: Wednesday 7/10/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB SGP Bets to Target: Wednesday 7/10/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB SGP Bets for Wednesday 7/10/24

Washington Nationals at New York Mets

J.D Martinez to Record 2+ Total Bases (-110)
Mark Vientos to Record an RBI (+110)

Combined Odds: +293

The Washington Nationals are trotting out Patrick Corbin for his 19th start of the season on Wednesday, which means we want to target the right-handed bats of the New York Mets. The Mets boast the fourth-best wOBA (.339), third-best wRC+ (124), and fourth-best ISO (.185) versus southpaws this year.

A large reason why New York is crushing lefties is due to players like J.D. Martinez and Mark Vientos performing well in that split. Beginning with Martinez, he's logging a .426 wOBA, 184 wRC+, and .242 ISO versus left-handed pitching.

Meanwhile, Vientos is sporting a .447 wOBA, 198 wRC+, and .323 ISO against left-handed pitchers in 2024. Hitting in the middle of New York's lineup has helped Vientos accumulate seven RBIs in his last 10 games.

On the season, Corbin is permitting a .381 wOBA and 1.48 HR/9 to righties, and winds will be blowing to left at Citi Field on Wednesday. With bats on the Mets getting a boost due to Corbin and the weather, it's worth noting that Martinez has +350 odds to hit a home run, and Vientos has +340 odds.

Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels

Griffin Canning Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-158)
Josh Smith to Record a Hit (-220)
Wyatt Langford to Record 2+ Total Bases (+110)

Combined Odds: +327

It has been a rough season for Griffin Canning, who is recording a 4.90 xFIP and 4.92 SIERA through 18 starts for the Los Angeles Angels. Canning is also sitting in the 18th percentile in xERA (4.85), 21st percentile in xBA (.268), 9th percentile in strikeout rate (15.8%), and 23rd percentile in hard-hit rate (42.5%).

Given Canning's inability to generate swings and misses, it's tough to expect him to achieve five-plus Ks in an unfavorable matchup versus the Texas Rangers. Besides Canning tallying five-plus strikeouts in only five starts this season, the Rangers have the fifth-lowest strikeout rate (19.8%) when facing right-handed pitching.

Canning is giving up a .371 wOBA and .353 OBP to left-handed hitters, putting Josh Smith in a fantastic spot on Wednesday. Smith owns a .369 wOBA, 138 wRC+, .173 ISO, and just a 16.4% strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers, and he's currently on a seven-game hit streak.

Wyatt Langford has also been seeing the ball well with at least one hit in 11 of his last 13 contests. Even though Canning is performing worse versus left-handed hitters, Langford has been hitting out of the cleanup spot, and he's capable of turning any hit into multiple bases with his 98th percentile sprint speed.

With Canning giving up 17 homers this year, Smith is being given +520 odds to hit a home run, and Langford has +500 odds

Atlanta Braves at Arizona Diamondbacks

Slade Cecconi Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-126)
Austin Riley to Record a Hit (-280)
Marcell Ozuna to Record an RBI (+115)

Combined Odds: +333

Similar to Canning, Slade Cecconi is another right-handed pitcher who struggled to rack up Ks at a high clip. Ahead of his 13th start for the Arizona Diamondbacks, Cecconi is in just the 18th percentile in chase rate (24.9%), 8th percentile in whiff rate (19.0%), 26th percentile in strikeout rate (18.9%), and 14th percentile in barrel rate (10.1%).

Those metrics have led to Cecconi finishing with five-plus Ks in only 3 of his first 12 starts. Being that Cecconi is allowing a .379 wOBA, 1.43 WHIP, and 2.20 HR/9 to righties, compared to a .323 wOBA, 1.20 WHIP, and 1.35 HR/9 to lefties, targeting the right-handed bats of the Atlanta Braves appears to be the ideal choice.

Austin Riley and Marcell Ozuna are the two right-handed hitters who could wreak havoc with Cecconi on the bump. Riley owns a .219 ISO or better and a .314 wOBA or better versus Cecconi's two primary pitches (four-seam fastball and slider) against right-handed hitters.

Aside from leading the Braves with 73 RBIs, Ozuna is registering a .375 wOBA, 143 wRC+, and .276 ISO versus right-handed pitching. Ozuna has tallied six RBIs across his last five contests.

Considering the power that Cecconi gives up on the mound, Riley has +400 odds to hit a home run while Ozuna possesses +300 odds.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.