MLB

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Tuesday 6/4/24

Skyler Carlin
Skyler Carlin@skyler_carlin
MLB Same Game Parlay Bets to Target: Tuesday 6/4/24

Looking for a new way to bet on Major League Baseball this summer? A Same Game Parlay (SGP) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be the answer!

SGPs allow you to combine two or more selections from the same game for a higher potential payout. For more information about parlays, SGP, and SGP+, head over to FanDuel.

Here at FanDuel Research, we're going to provide some SGPs builds to consider based on the games and props available for today, but there are plenty more popular parlay ideas available at FanDuel's Parlay Hub, too!

Which correlated bets stand out for today's MLB slate? Let's dig in.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise. Please check FanDuel Research's projections to make sure you're seeing the most updated projections.

MLB Same Game Parlay Bets for Tuesday 6/4/24

Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins

Ryan Pepiot to Record 5+ Strikeouts (-265)
Jesus Luzardo Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-122)
Alternate Total Runs: Under 8.5 (-172)

Combined Odds: +228

When the Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins square off on Tuesday, there will be two starters capable of racking up plenty of strikeouts with Ryan Pepiot and Jesus Luzardo expected to take the mound. Beginning with Pepiot, the 26-year-old righty is producing a solid 3.53 SIERA, 3.79 xFIP, and 12.2% swinging strike rate through nine starts.

Even though Pepiot is in the 21st percentile in chase rate (25.1%), he is in the 85th percentile in whiff rate (30.8%) and 82nd percentile in strikeout rate (28.3%). While the Marlins are recording the 11th-lowest strikeout rate (21.4%) against right-handed pitching, they are also registering the 7th-lowest wOBA (.295), 6th-lowest wRC+ (91), and 4th-lowest ISO (.126) in that split.

This should allow Pepiot -- who has six-plus Ks in five of his nine outings -- to pitch deep into the game and tally strikeouts.

On the other hand, Luzardo also draws a favorable matchup versus a struggling Rays lineup. Across his first nine starts in 2024, Luzardo is logging a 3.82 SIERA and 3.81 xFIP with a career-best 14.6% swinging strike rate.

As for Tampa Bay, they are posting the 4th-highest strikeout rate (25.2%), 11th-lowest wOBA (.301), 15th-lowest wRC+ (100), and 9th-lowest ISO (.122) against southpaws. The fact the Rays own the seventh-highest swing rate on pitches outside of the zone (33.2%) also favors Luzardo.

With both pitchers expected to have success on the bump, we'll also take the alternate total of under 8.5 runs. Pepiot is in the 84th percentile in xERA (2.97) while Luzardo has given up two or fewer earned runs in four of his last five starts.

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees

Bailey Ober Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-162)
Aaron Judge to Record 2+ Total Bases (-125)
New York Yankees Alternate Total Runs: Over 3.5 (-194)

Combined Odds: +236

Bailey Ober is certainly generating swings and misses for the Minnesota Twins, ranking in the 81st percentile in chase rate (32.0%), 58th percentile in whiff rate (26.1%), and 67th percentile in strikeout rate (25.0%) through his first 11 starts this season. At the same time, Ober has shown he's susceptible to being hit hard as he's in the ninth percentile in barrel rate (11.3%) ahead of a road showdown with the hard-hitting New York Yankees.

Upon adding the likes of lefties Juan Soto and Alex Verdugo, the Yankees are tallying the seventh-lowest strikeout rate (20.0%) versus right-handed pitchers. New York also leads the league in wOBA (.349), wRC+ (130), and ISO (.202) in that split.

On the season, Ober has surrendered 10 home runs with at least one homer given up in five of his last six outings. Additionally, seven of Ober's 10 home runs allowed have come against right-handed hitters.

The Yankees happen to have a player named Aaron Judge, who is destroying every baseball that comes across the plate. Judge is sporting an elite .444 wOBA, .369 ISO, and 195 wRC+ when facing right-handed pitching, and he's recorded two-plus bases in four consecutive contests with four homers in that span.

While the odds aren't ideal, it's worth noting that Judge is carrying +186 odds to hit a home run on Dinger Tuesday.

Along with taking Ober to go under on his strikeouts prop and Judge to continue having success, we'll also back the Yankees to score four-plus runs at home. New York is averaging 4.7 runs per game at home this year, and they've plated six-plus runs in four straight games.

Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies

Tyler Stephenson to Record an RBI (+100)
Ryan McMahon to Record an RBI (+120)

Combined Odds: +335

After witnessing 16 total runs scored in Monday's clash between the Cincinnati Reds and Colorado Rockies at Coors Field, we have another two middling pitchers expected to start on Tuesday. Frankie Montas is slated to make his 11th start of the campaign for the Reds while Ty Blach is getting his sixth start for the Rockies.

Blach has had a forgettable start to the season, ranking in the 17th percentile in xERA (4.88), 4th percentile in xBA (.299), 2nd percentile in strikeout rate (12.0%), 34th percentile in barrel rate (8.5%), and 25th percentile in hard-hit rate (42.4%). The experienced southpaw is also permitting a .372 wOBA, .495 SLG, and 1.66 WHIP to righties, compared to a .160 wOBA, .184 SLG, and 0.57 WHIP to lefties.

Taking those metrics into account, Tyler Stephenson is a bat who could be in store for a notable performance. Stephenson is rocking a .342 wOBA, .229 ISO, and 118 wRC+ with just a 12.7% strikeout rate versus left-handed pitchers while totaling four RBIs in his last five appearances.

Montas is experiencing his own struggles to the tune of a 4.72 xERA, 15.9% strikeout rate, and 40.8% hard-hit rate to go along with the lowest swinging strike rate (8.7%) of his career since 2018. Against left-handed hitters, Montas is giving up a .380 wOBA, .495 SLG, and 1.60 WHIP.

Ryan McMahon is a left-handed bat who performs better against same-handed pitching, but he's fully capable of mauling righties, too. At the moment, McMahon is posting a .338 wOBA, .170 ISO, and 105 wRC+ versus right-handed pitchers in 2024.

Although pitcher-vs.-batter numbers tell only part of the story, McMahon is a perfect 4-for-4 with two extra-base hits against Montas in his career. You can get Stephenson at +430 odds to hit a home run and McMahon at +360 odds in the same market on Tuesday.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.