NCAAB

Mississippi State vs LSU Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - SEC Tournament

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
Mississippi State vs LSU Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - SEC Tournament

The No. 9 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-12, 8-10 SEC) take on the No. 8 seed LSU Tigers (17-14, 9-9 SEC) in the SEC tournament Thursday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 1:00 PM ET. Both teams will attempt to get one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Mississippi State vs. LSU Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Thursday, March 14, 2024
  • Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: SEC Network
  • Location: Nashville, Tennessee
  • Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Mississippi State vs. LSU Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Mississippi State win (70.6%)

Before you bet on Thursday's Mississippi State-LSU spread (Mississippi State -4.5) or over/under (144.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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Mississippi State vs. LSU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Mississippi State has covered 14 times in 31 games with a spread this season.
  • LSU has compiled a 13-18-0 ATS record so far this year.
  • As a 4.5-point favorite or more in 2023-24, Mississippi State is 9-9 against the spread compared to the 5-7 ATS record LSU puts up as a 4.5-point underdog.
  • In home games, the Bulldogs sport a better record against the spread (6-9-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (2-8-0).
  • In 2023-24 against the spread, the Tigers have a lower winning percentage at home (.353, 6-11-0 record) than on the road (.500, 5-5-0).
  • Mississippi State has covered the spread six times in 18 conference games.
  • LSU has covered the spread eight times in 18 SEC games.

Mississippi State vs. LSU: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Mississippi State has been victorious in 13, or 68.4%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
  • This year, the Bulldogs have won 11 of 14 games when listed as at least -205 or better on the moneyline.
  • LSU is 3-11 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 21.4% of those games).
  • The Tigers have a 3-6 record (winning only 33.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +168 or longer.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi State has a 67.2% chance of walking away with the win.

Mississippi State vs. LSU Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Mississippi State is outscoring opponents by 5.7 points per game with a +174 scoring differential overall. It puts up 75.3 points per game (129th in college basketball) and gives up 69.6 per outing (105th in college basketball).
  • Josh Hubbard's 16.8 points per game lead Mississippi State and rank 139th in the country.
  • LSU's +63 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 2.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.9 points per game (84th in college basketball) while allowing 74.8 per contest (267th in college basketball).
  • Jordan Wright is 274th in the nation with a team-high 15.1 points per game.
  • The 38.6 rebounds per game the Bulldogs average rank 45th in the nation, and are 6.1 more than the 32.5 their opponents collect per contest.
  • Cameron Matthews is 173rd in college basketball action with 7.1 rebounds per game to lead the Bulldogs.
  • The Tigers average 35.8 rebounds per game (144th in college basketball), compared to the 35.1 of their opponents.
  • Wright is 590th in college basketball with 5.0 rebounds per game, leading the Tigers.
  • Mississippi State's 96.1 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 157th in college basketball, and the 88.9 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 69th in college basketball.
  • The Tigers' 96.0 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 159th in college basketball, and the 93.5 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 201st in college basketball.

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