Michigan vs Purdue College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 17

The Michigan Wolverines (24-1, 14-1 Big Ten) will attempt to continue a 10-game winning streak when they visit the Purdue Boilermakers (21-4, 11-3 Big Ten) on February 17, 2026. The Boilermakers have won four games in a row.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. Purdue Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
• Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: West Lafayette, Indiana
• Arena: Mackey Arena

Michigan vs. Purdue Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Purdue win (52.9%)

Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before placing a wager on Tuesday's Michigan-Purdue spread (Michigan -2.5) or over/under (156.5 points).

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Michigan vs. Purdue: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has put together a 13-12-0 record against the spread this season.
• Purdue is 12-13-0 ATS this season.
• As a 2.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Purdue is 1-0 against the spread compared to the 12-12 ATS record Michigan puts up as a 2.5-point favorite.
• In home games, the Wolverines own a better record against the spread (8-5-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (2-6-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Boilermakers have a lower winning percentage at home (.308, 4-9-0 record) than on the road (.667, 6-3-0).
• Michigan is 6-9-0 against the spread in conference games this year.
• Purdue has six wins against the spread in 14 Big Ten games this season.

Michigan vs. Purdue: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has come away with 22 wins in the 23 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Wolverines have been victorious 21 times in 22 chances when named as a favorite of at least -156 or better on the moneyline.
• Purdue has been listed as the moneyline underdog only two other times so far this season, and it won both games.
• The Boilermakers have played as a moneyline underdog of +130 or longer in only one game this season, which they won.
• Michigan has an implied victory probability of 60.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Michigan vs. Purdue Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan scored 78 points per game and allowed 71.5 last year, making them 75th in the country on offense and 160th on defense.
• Michigan was 34th in the nation in rebounds per game (35) and 114th in rebounds allowed (30.2) last season.
• Michigan was 46th in the nation in assists (15.8 per game) last season.
• Michigan was the 14th-worst squad in the nation in turnovers per game (13.6) and 240th in turnovers forced (10.6) last year.
• Offensively, Purdue averaged 77.3 points per game (82nd-ranked in college basketball) last year. It surrendered 70.4 points per contest at the other end (126th-ranked).
• Purdue averaged 29.9 boards per game (300th-ranked in college basketball). It ceded 28.2 rebounds per contest (28th-ranked).
• Purdue ranked 42nd in the nation with 15.9 assists per game.
• Purdue was 62nd in the country with 9.9 turnovers per game last year. Meanwhile, it ranked 176th with 11.3 forced turnovers per contest.

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