Michigan vs Northwestern College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 11

The Northwestern Wildcats (10-14, 2-11 Big Ten) will try to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the Michigan Wolverines (22-1, 12-1 Big Ten) on February 11, 2026 at Welsh-Ryan Arena. The contest airs on BTN.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan vs. Northwestern Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, February 11, 2026
• Game time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Evanston, Illinois
• Arena: Welsh-Ryan Arena

Michigan vs. Northwestern Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan win (79.8%)

Take a look at the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Wednesday's Michigan-Northwestern spread (Michigan -15.5) or total (153.5 points).

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Michigan vs. Northwestern: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Northwestern has put together a 9-15-0 record against the spread this season.
• Michigan covers the spread when it is a 15.5-point favorite or more 50% of the time. That's more often than Northwestern covers as an underdog of 15.5 or more (never covered this season).
• Against the spread, the Wolverines have performed better at home, covering seven times in 12 home games, and two times in seven road games.
• This year, the Wildcats are 4-8-0 at home against the spread (.333 winning percentage). On the road, they are 4-4-0 ATS (.500).
• Michigan is 5-8-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
• Northwestern is 5-8-0 against the spread in Big Ten action this year.

Michigan vs. Northwestern: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan has won in 20, or 95.2%, of the 21 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• This season, the Wolverines have come away with a win 12 times in 13 chances when named as a favorite of at least -2000 or better on the moneyline.
• Northwestern has won one of the 10 games it was the moneyline underdog this season (10%).
• The Wildcats have played as a moneyline underdog of +980 or longer in only one game this season, which they lost.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Michigan has a 95.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Michigan vs. Northwestern Head-to-Head Comparison

• With 78.0 points scored per game and 71.5 points conceded last season, Michigan was 75th in college basketball on offense and 160th defensively.
• Last year, Michigan was 34th in the country in rebounds (35.0 per game) and 114th in rebounds allowed (30.2).
• With 15.8 assists per game last season, Michigan was 46th in the nation.
• In terms of turnovers, Michigan was 14th-worst in the nation in committing them (13.6 per game) last season. And it was ranked 240th in forcing them (10.6 per game).
• Northwestern was 218th in college basketball last season with 72.4 points per game. At the other end of the court, it ranked 85th with 69.2 points allowed per game.
• With 30.6 rebounds per game, Northwestern ranked 266th in the nation. It allowed 30.8 rebounds per contest, which ranked 153rd in college basketball.
• Northwestern delivered 14.5 dimes per game, which ranked them 105th in the nation.
• Northwestern forced 12.6 turnovers per game last season (67th-ranked in college basketball), but it averaged only 9.3 turnovers per contest (25th-best).

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