Michigan State vs Minnesota College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 4

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (10-12, 3-8 Big Ten) hope to break a three-game home losing streak when they host the Michigan State Spartans (19-3, 9-2 Big Ten) on February 4, 2026.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Minnesota Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Arena: Williams Arena

See the betting trends and insights below before making a wager on Wednesday's Michigan State-Minnesota spread (Michigan State -8.5) or total (133.5 points).

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Michigan State vs. Minnesota: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has compiled a 12-10-0 record against the spread this season.
• Minnesota has compiled a 9-13-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Michigan State (5-8) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 8.5 points or more this season (38.5%) than Minnesota (3-1) does as an 8.5+-point underdog (75%).
• The Spartans have a worse record against the spread at home (6-7-0) than they do in road games (3-2-0).
• This season, the Golden Gophers are 6-6-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). On the road, they are 3-4-0 ATS (.429).
• Michigan State has seven wins against the spread in 11 conference games this season.
• Minnesota is 5-6-0 against the spread in Big Ten play this year.

Michigan State vs. Minnesota: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been named as the moneyline favorite 17 times this year and has yet to lose any of those games.
• The Spartans have yet to lose in 12 games when named as moneyline favorite of -429 or better.
• Minnesota is 3-9 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 25% of those games).
• When they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +330 or longer, the Golden Gophers have gone 1-3 (25%).
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 81.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Michigan State vs. Minnesota Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State was 78th in college basketball in points scored (77.7 per game) and 44th in points conceded (67.1) last year.
• Last year, Michigan State was 10th-best in the nation in rebounds (36.7 per game) and 28th in rebounds allowed (28.2).
• At 16.5 assists per game, Michigan State was 24th-best in the country last year.
• Michigan State committed 10.7 turnovers per game last year and forced 10.4 per game, ranking 135th and 265th, respectively, in the country.
• Minnesota averaged 68.1 points per game (317th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 69.7 points per contest (99th-ranked).
• With 30.4 boards per game, Minnesota was 281st in the country. It gave up 31 rebounds per contest, which ranked 168th in college basketball.
• Last year Minnesota ranked 69th in college basketball in assists, delivering 15.2 per game.
• With 9.8 turnovers per game, Minnesota ranked 50th in the nation. It forced 10 turnovers per contest, which ranked 305th in college basketball.

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