Illinois vs Northwestern College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 4

The Illinois Fighting Illini (19-3, 10-1 Big Ten) aim to build on an 11-game win streak when they host the Northwestern Wildcats (10-12, 2-9 Big Ten) on February 4, 2026 at State Farm Center.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. Northwestern Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, February 4, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Big Ten Network
• Location: Champaign, Illinois
• Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. Northwestern Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (86.2%)

Before making a bet on Wednesday's Illinois-Northwestern spread (Illinois -15.5) or over/under (150.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Illinois vs. Northwestern: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois has put together a 14-8-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Northwestern has won eight games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 14 times.
• The Fighting Illini have a worse record against the spread at home (7-5-0) than they do in road games (5-1-0).
• This year, the Wildcats are 4-8-0 at home against the spread (.333 winning percentage). Away, they are 3-3-0 ATS (.500).
• Illinois is 7-4-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
• Northwestern has four wins against the spread in 11 Big Ten games this season.

Illinois vs. Northwestern: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 14 games this year and has walked away with the win 12 times (85.7%) in those games.
• The Fighting Illini have yet to lose in four games when named as moneyline favorite of -2326 or better.
• Northwestern has won one of the eight games it was listed as the moneyline underdog this season (12.5%).
• The Wildcats have not yet played as a moneyline underdog of +1060 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Illinois has a 95.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Illinois vs. Northwestern Head-to-Head Comparison

• Illinois averages 84.6 points per game (31st in college basketball) while allowing 68.2 per outing (52nd in college basketball). It has a +361 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 16.4 points per game.
• Keaton Wagler ranks 85th in college basketball with a team-high 18.1 points per game.
• Northwestern's +103 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 76.6 points per game (180th in college basketball) while allowing 72 per contest (133rd in college basketball).
• Nick Martinelli leads Northwestern, recording 23.7 points per game (first in college basketball).
• The Fighting Illini record 38.2 rebounds per game (ninth in college basketball) while allowing 27.5 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 10.7 boards per game.
• David Mirkovic averages 8.2 rebounds per game (ranking 63rd in college basketball) to lead the Fighting Illini.
• The Wildcats are 296th in college basketball at 29.8 rebounds per game. That's 1.9 fewer than the 31.7 their opponents average.
• Martinelli is 186th in college basketball with 6.8 rebounds per game, leading the Wildcats.
• Illinois scores 109.9 points per 100 possessions (ninth in college basketball), while allowing 88.6 points per 100 possessions (60th in college basketball).
• The Wildcats rank 100th in college basketball with 101.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 209th defensively with 95.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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