Michigan State vs Indiana College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 1

The Michigan State Spartans (23-5, 13-4 Big Ten) will attempt to build on a three-game winning streak when they visit the Indiana Hoosiers (17-11, 8-9 Big Ten) on March 1, 2026 at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Indiana Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Sunday, March 1, 2026
• Game time: 3:45 p.m. ET
• TV channel: CBS
• Location: Bloomington, Indiana
• Arena: Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall

Michigan State vs. Indiana Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (57.8%)

If you are planning on making a wager on Michigan State-Indiana contest (in which Michigan State is a 3.5-point favorite and the over/under is set at 143.5 points), keep reading for a few betting insights and trends for Sunday's game.

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Michigan State vs. Indiana: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State is 15-13-0 ATS this season.
• Indiana has covered 13 times in 28 matchups with a spread this season.
• Michigan State covers the spread when it is a 3.5-point favorite or more 47.4% of the time. That's more often than Indiana covers as an underdog of 3.5 or more (37.5%).
• The Spartans have covered the spread in the same percentage of home games as road games (50%). They have covered eight times in 16 games at home and four times in eight games on the road.
• Against the spread, the Hoosiers have performed better at home (8-8-0) than away (4-6-0).
• Michigan State has 10 wins against the spread in 17 conference games this season.
• Indiana has eight wins against the spread in 17 Big Ten games this season.

Michigan State vs. Indiana: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has been the moneyline favorite in 22 games this season and has come away with the win 20 times (90.9%) in those contests.
• This year, the Spartans have won 18 of 19 games when listed as at least -170 or better on the moneyline.
• Indiana has put together a 2-6 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 25% of those games).
• In games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer, the Hoosiers have gone 2-6 (25%).
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 63% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Michigan State vs. Indiana Head-to-Head Comparison

• Offensively, Michigan State was the 78th-ranked squad in the country (77.7 points per game) last year. On defense, it was 44th (67.1 points allowed per game).
• On the boards, Michigan State was 10th-best in the nation in rebounds (36.7 per game) last year. It was 28th in rebounds allowed (28.2 per game).
• At 16.5 assists per game, Michigan State was 24th-best in the country last year.
• With 10.7 turnovers committed per game and 10.4 turnovers forced last year, Michigan State was 135th and 265th in the country, respectively.
• With 74.7 points per game on offense, Indiana ranked 147th in the country last season. On defense, it allowed 72 points per contest, which ranked 182nd in college basketball.
• Indiana grabbed 32.7 boards per game (142nd-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 30.3 rebounds per contest (121st-ranked).
• Indiana averaged 15.9 dimes per game, which ranked them 42nd in the country.
• Indiana ranked 201st in the country with 11.3 turnovers per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 234th with 10.7 forced turnovers per game.

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