Michigan State vs Illinois College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 7

The Illinois Fighting Illini (20-3, 11-1 Big Ten) hope to build on a 12-game winning streak when they visit the Michigan State Spartans (19-4, 9-3 Big Ten) on February 7, 2026 at Jack Breslin Students Events Center. The contest airs on FOX.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Michigan State vs. Illinois Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 7, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: FOX
• Location: East Lansing, Michigan
• Arena: Jack Breslin Students Events Center

Michigan State vs. Illinois Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Michigan State win (67.6%)

Check out these betting trends and insights before you wager on Saturday's Michigan State-Illinois spread (Michigan State -1.5) or over/under (143.5 points).

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!

Michigan State vs. Illinois: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Michigan State has won 12 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 11 times.
• Illinois has won 15 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover eight times.
• When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Michigan State (10-9) covers a lower percentage of those games when it is the favorite (52.6%) than Illinois (2-1) does as the underdog (66.7%).
• In home games, the Spartans have a worse record against the spread (6-7-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (3-3-0).
• This season, the Fighting Illini are 8-5-0 at home against the spread (.615 winning percentage). On the road, they are 5-1-0 ATS (.833).
• Michigan State has seven wins against the spread in 12 conference games this year.
• Against the spread in Big Ten games, Illinois is 8-4-0 this season.

Michigan State vs. Illinois: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Michigan State has come away with 17 wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Spartans have a win-loss record of 17-1 when favored by -120 or better by bookmakers this year.
• Illinois is 2-1 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 66.7% of those games).
• The Fighting Illini have a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +100 or longer.
• Michigan State has an implied victory probability of 54.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Michigan State vs. Illinois Head-to-Head Comparison

• Michigan State's +321 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 14 points per game) is a result of scoring 78.9 points per game (119th in college basketball) while allowing 64.9 per contest (16th in college basketball).
• Jeremy Fears Jr.'s 14.7 points per game lead Michigan State and are 316th in the country.
• Illinois puts up 84.6 points per game (29th in college basketball) while giving up 67.2 per contest (33rd in college basketball). It has a +401 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 17.4 points per game.
• Keaton Wagler is 91st in the nation with a team-leading 17.9 points per game.
• The 38.1 rebounds per game the Spartans average rank 10th in the country, and are 13.3 more than the 24.8 their opponents grab per outing.
• Jaxon Kohler's 9.1 rebounds per game lead the Spartans and rank 32nd in college basketball play.
• The Fighting Illini win the rebound battle by 11.5 boards on average. They collect 38.6 rebounds per game, fifth in college basketball, while their opponents grab 27.1.
• David Mirkovic is 64th in the country with 8.2 rebounds per game, leading the Fighting Illini.
• Michigan State ranks 58th in college basketball with 104 points scored per 100 possessions, and 19th in college basketball defensively with 85.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Fighting Illini rank seventh in college basketball averaging 110.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 42nd, allowing 87.5 points per 100 possessions.

Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel Daily Fantasy today!