Duke vs North Carolina College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 7

The Duke Blue Devils (21-1, 10-0 ACC) will try to build on a 10-game win streak when they visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (18-4, 6-3 ACC) on February 7, 2026. The Tar Heels have won four games in a row.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. North Carolina Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 7, 2026
• Game time: 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Chapel Hill, North Carolina
• Arena: Dean E. Smith Center

Duke is a 5.5-point favorite over North Carolina on Saturday and the total is set at 151.5 points. Below are a few betting trends and insights before you decide to wager on the contest.

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Duke vs. North Carolina: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Duke has put together a 12-10-0 record against the spread this season.
• North Carolina has covered 11 times in 22 games with a spread this season.
• North Carolina covers the spread when it is a 5.5-point underdog or more 100% of the time. That's more often than Duke covers as a favorite of 5.5 or more (50%).
• The Blue Devils have done a better job covering the spread in road games (6-1-0) than they have in home games (4-7-0).
• The Tar Heels have performed better against the spread at home (7-6-0) than on the road (3-3-0) this year.
• Duke is 6-4-0 against the spread in conference games this year.
• North Carolina has three wins against the spread in nine ACC games this season.

Duke vs. North Carolina: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Duke has been victorious in 15, or 93.8%, of the 16 contests it has been chosen as moneyline favorites in this season.
• The Blue Devils have a win-loss record of 13-1 when favored by -310 or better by bookmakers this year.
• North Carolina has won 50% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (2-2).
• The Tar Heels have played as a moneyline underdog of +245 or longer in just one game this season, which they won.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Duke has a 75.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Duke vs. North Carolina Head-to-Head Comparison

• Duke was the 11th-best team in the country in points scored (83.2 per game) and seventh-best in points allowed (62.8) last season.
• Last season, Duke was 24th-best in college basketball in rebounds (35.6 per game) and 12th-best in rebounds allowed (27.3).
• Duke was 17th-best in the country in assists (16.9 per game) last season.
• Duke was the ninth-best team in college basketball in turnovers per game (8.9) and 265th in turnovers forced (10.4) last season.
• North Carolina put up 80.7 points per game (29th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 74.7 points per contest (261st-ranked).
• North Carolina was 105th in college basketball with 33.2 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 182nd with 31.2 rebounds allowed per contest.
• Last year North Carolina ranked 93rd in college basketball in assists, dishing out 14.7 per game.
• North Carolina averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (120th-ranked in college basketball) this season, while forcing 10.2 turnovers per contest (288th-ranked).

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