Miami (OH) vs UMass College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 17

The UMass Minutemen (15-11, 6-7 MAC) will look to extend a four-game home win streak when they square off against the Miami (OH) RedHawks (25-0, 12-0 MAC) on February 17, 2026 at William D. Mullins Center.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Miami (OH) vs. UMass Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, February 17, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Amherst, Massachusetts
• Arena: William D. Mullins Center

Miami (OH) vs. UMass Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Miami (OH) win (67.2%)

Before you decide to wager on Miami (OH)-UMass matchup (in which Miami (OH) is a 3.5-point favorite and the total has been set at 162.5 points), keep reading for a few betting insights and trends for Tuesday's game.

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Miami (OH) vs. UMass: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Miami (OH) has compiled a 16-6-0 ATS record so far this year.
• UMass has put together a 10-15-0 record against the spread this year.
• Miami (OH) (10-6) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 3.5 points or more this season (62.5%) than UMass (4-1) does as a 3.5+-point underdog (80%).
• The RedHawks have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered seven times in 11 games at home, and they've covered eight times in 10 games when playing on the road.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Minutemen have a lower winning percentage at home (.333, 4-8-0 record) than away (.375, 3-5-0).
• Miami (OH) is 8-4-0 against the spread in conference play this year.
• UMass has four wins against the spread in 13 MAC games this year.

Miami (OH) vs. UMass: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Miami (OH) has yet to lose any of the 18 games it has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The RedHawks have yet to lose in 16 games when named as moneyline favorite of -170 or better.
• UMass has been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. UMass has finished 4-6 in those games.
• The Minutemen have a record of 1-4 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +140 or longer (20%).
• Miami (OH) has an implied victory probability of 63% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Miami (OH) vs. UMass Head-to-Head Comparison

• At 80.6 points scored per game and 72.7 points allowed last season, Miami (OH) was 31st in the country offensively and 204th defensively.
• Miami (OH) was 239th in the nation in rebounds per game (30.9) and 121st in rebounds allowed (30.3) last season.
• Last season Miami (OH) was ranked 32nd in the nation in assists with 16.2 per game.
• Miami (OH) committed 11.6 turnovers per game last season and forced 13.4 per game, ranking 232nd and 40th, respectively, in the country.
• With 72.9 points per game on offense, UMass was 205th in the country last season. On defense, it surrendered 75 points per contest, which ranked 271st in college basketball.
• UMass allowed 33.8 boards per game last year (321st-ranked in college basketball), but it shined by averaging 35.8 rebounds per game (21st-best).
• UMass averaged 12.9 assists per game, which ranked them 227th in the nation.
• UMass was 186th in the nation with 11.2 turnovers per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 112th with 12 forced turnovers per game.

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