Miami (OH) vs Toledo College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 3

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (29-0, 16-0 MAC) bring a 29-game win streak into a home matchup with the Toledo Rockets (16-13, 10-6 MAC), winners of three straight.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Miami (OH) vs. Toledo Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Oxford, Ohio
• Arena: Millett Hall

Miami (OH) vs. Toledo Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Miami (OH) win (79.3%)

Read the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Tuesday's Miami (OH)-Toledo spread (Miami (OH) -7.5) or total (162.5 points).

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Miami (OH) vs. Toledo: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Miami (OH) has won 19 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
• Toledo is 14-13-0 ATS this season.
• As a 7.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Toledo is 1-1 against the spread compared to the 11-5 ATS record Miami (OH) racks up as a 7.5-point favorite.
• At home, the RedHawks own a worse record against the spread (8-4-0) compared to their ATS record in away games (10-3-0).
• This year, the Rockets are 5-7-0 at home against the spread (.417 winning percentage). On the road, they are 8-5-0 ATS (.615).
• Miami (OH) is 11-5-0 against the spread in conference action this year.
• Toledo is 10-6-0 against the spread in MAC games this year.

Miami (OH) vs. Toledo: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Miami (OH) has been listed as the moneyline favorite 22 times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
• The RedHawks have yet to lose in 15 games when named as moneyline favorite of -385 or better.
• Toledo has put together a 4-7 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 36.4% of those games).
• The Rockets have played as a moneyline underdog of +300 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
• Miami (OH) has an implied victory probability of 79.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Miami (OH) vs. Toledo Head-to-Head Comparison

• Miami (OH) scored 80.6 points per game and gave up 72.7 last year, making them 31st in the nation on offense and 204th on defense.
• On the boards, Miami (OH) was 239th in college basketball in rebounds (30.9 per game) last season. It was 121st in rebounds allowed (30.3 per game).
• Miami (OH) was 32nd in the nation in assists (16.2 per game) last season.
• Miami (OH) committed 11.6 turnovers per game last year and forced 13.4 per game, ranking 232nd and 40th, respectively, in the country.
• Toledo was ranked 55th in college basketball offensively last season with 78.9 points per game, while defensively it was 13th-worst (80.2 points allowed per game).
• Toledo grabbed 30.8 boards per game (253rd-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 31.4 rebounds per contest (195th-ranked).
• Toledo ranked 214th in the country with 13.1 dimes per game.
• Toledo forced 10.2 turnovers per game last year (288th-ranked in college basketball), but it averaged just 9 turnovers per game (10th-best).

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