Illinois vs Oregon College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 3

The No. 11 Illinois Fighting Illini (22-7, 13-5 Big Ten) host the Oregon Ducks (11-18, 4-14 Big Ten) in Big Ten play at State Farm Center, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2026.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. Oregon Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: Champaign, Illinois
• Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. Oregon Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (92.8%)

Before placing a bet on Tuesday's Illinois-Oregon spread (Illinois -17.5) or total (145.5 points), take a look at the betting insights and trends below.

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Illinois vs. Oregon: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois has covered 17 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
• Oregon has compiled an 11-18-0 ATS record so far this season.
• Illinois (6-2) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 17.5 points or more this season (75%) than Oregon (2-0) does as a 17.5+-point underdog (100%).
• The Fighting Illini have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered nine times in 16 games at home, and they've covered six times in nine games when playing on the road.
• The Ducks have been better against the spread away (4-5-0) than at home (6-10-0) this season.
• Against the spread, in conference games, Illinois is 10-8-0 this season.
• Against the spread in Big Ten games, Oregon is 7-11-0 this season.

Illinois vs. Oregon: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois has won in 15, or 78.9%, of the 19 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Fighting Illini have been a -4000 moneyline favorite on three occasions this season and won every game.
• Oregon is 2-14 in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 12.5% of those games).
• The Ducks have played as a moneyline underdog of +1280 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• Illinois has an implied victory probability of 97.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Illinois vs. Oregon Head-to-Head Comparison

• Illinois outscores opponents by 15.0 points per game (scoring 84.6 per game to rank 23rd in college basketball while allowing 69.6 per contest to rank 66th in college basketball) and has a +437 scoring differential overall.
• Keaton Wagler ranks 81st in the country with a team-leading 18.3 points per game.
• Oregon has been outscored by 2.4 points per game (posting 71.3 points per game, 286th in college basketball, while giving up 73.7 per outing, 178th in college basketball) and has a -69 scoring differential.
• Nathan Bittle's 17.0 points per game leads Oregon and ranks 159th in college basketball.
• The Fighting Illini win the rebound battle by 9.9 boards on average. They record 37.8 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in college basketball, while their opponents pull down 27.9 per outing.
• David Mirkovic's 7.8 rebounds per game lead the Fighting Illini and rank 89th in college basketball action.
• The Ducks pull down 31.6 rebounds per game (211th in college basketball) while allowing 30.4 per contest to opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.2 boards per game.
• Kwame Evans Jr. paces the team with 7.4 rebounds per game (113th in college basketball).
• Illinois' 109.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank eighth in college basketball, and the 90.0 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 59th in college basketball.
• The Ducks average 93.8 points per 100 possessions (268th in college basketball), while conceding 96.9 points per 100 possessions (235th in college basketball).

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