Illinois vs Oregon College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 3

Big Ten action features the No. 11 Illinois Fighting Illini (22-7, 13-5 Big Ten) at home against the Oregon Ducks (11-18, 4-14 Big Ten) on Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Illinois vs. Oregon Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Peacock
• Location: Champaign, Illinois
• Arena: State Farm Center

Illinois vs. Oregon Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Illinois win (93.3%)

Illinois is a 17.5-point favorite over Oregon on Tuesday and the over/under is set at 146.5 points. Keep reading for a few betting trends and insights if you are planning on making a wager on the matchup.

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Illinois vs. Oregon: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Illinois is 17-12-0 ATS this season.
• Oregon has covered 11 times in 29 games with a spread this season.
• Illinois (6-2) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 17.5 points or more this season (75%) than Oregon (2-0) does as a 17.5+-point underdog (100%).
• The Fighting Illini own a worse record against the spread when playing at home (9-7-0) than they do on the road (6-3-0).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Ducks have a lower winning percentage at home (.375, 6-10-0 record) than on the road (.444, 4-5-0).
• Illinois has 10 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
• Oregon is 7-11-0 against the spread in Big Ten games this season.

Illinois vs. Oregon: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Illinois has been the moneyline favorite in 19 games this season and has come away with the win 15 times (78.9%) in those contests.
• The Fighting Illini have been a -3448 moneyline favorite on four occasions this season and won every game.
• Oregon has a 2-14 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 12.5% of those games).
• The Ducks have played as a moneyline underdog of +1280 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Illinois has a 97.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Illinois vs. Oregon Head-to-Head Comparison

• Illinois is outscoring opponents by 15.0 points per game with a +437 scoring differential overall. It puts up 84.6 points per game (23rd in college basketball) and gives up 69.6 per outing (66th in college basketball).
• Keaton Wagler's team-leading 18.3 points per game ranks 81st in the country.
• Oregon's -69 scoring differential (being outscored by 2.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 71.3 points per game (286th in college basketball) while allowing 73.7 per outing (178th in college basketball).
• Nathan Bittle's team-leading 17.0 points per game rank him 159th in college basketball.
• The Fighting Illini win the rebound battle by 9.9 boards on average. They collect 37.8 rebounds per game, which ranks sixth in college basketball, while their opponents grab 27.9 per outing.
• David Mirkovic paces the team with 7.8 rebounds per game (89th in college basketball action).
• The Ducks win the rebound battle by an average of 1.2 boards. They are collecting 31.6 rebounds per game (211th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.4.
• Kwame Evans Jr. is 113th in college basketball with 7.4 rebounds per game, leading the Ducks.
• Illinois averages 109.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (eighth in college basketball), and gives up 90.0 points per 100 possessions (59th in college basketball).
• The Ducks average 93.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (268th in college basketball), and give up 96.9 points per 100 possessions (235th in college basketball).

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