Mets vs Padres Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for July 29

Odds updated as of 6:13 p.m.
The Tuesday slate in MLB includes a matchup between the New York Mets and the San Diego Padres.
We've got you covered, in terms of the vital info about this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Mets vs Padres Game Info
- New York Mets (62-45) vs. San Diego Padres (58-49)
- Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
- Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
- Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
- Coverage: MLB Network, SDPA, and SNY
Mets vs Padres Odds & Moneyline
- All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Moneyline: NYM: (-118) | SD: (-100)
- Spread: NYM: -1.5 (+146) | SD: +1.5 (-176)
- Total: 8.5 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)
Mets vs Padres Probable Starting Pitchers
Probable Pitchers: Sean Manaea (Mets) - 1-1, 2.19 ERA vs Ryan Bergert (Padres) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA
The probable pitchers are Sean Manaea (1-1) for the Mets and Ryan Bergert for the Padres. Manaea has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season. Manaea's team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they're favored on the moneyline. Bergert's team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.
Mets vs Padres Prediction & Pick
All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Padres win (50.5%)
Mets vs Padres Moneyline
- The Mets vs Padres moneyline has New York as a -118 favorite, while San Diego is a -100 underdog at home.
Mets vs Padres Spread
- The Padres are +1.5 on the spread (-176 to cover), and New York is +146 to cover the runline.
Mets vs Padres Over/Under
- The Mets-Padres contest on July 29 has been given an over/under of 8.5 runs. The over is set at -115 and the under at -105.
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Mets vs Padres Betting Trends
- The Mets have been victorious in 48, or 66.7%, of the 72 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
- This year New York has won 44 of 67 games when listed as at least -118 on the moneyline.
- The Mets' games have gone over the total in 45 of their 102 opportunities.
- The Mets have an against the spread mark of 51-51-0 in 102 games with a line this season.
- The Padres have compiled a 24-26 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 48% of those games).
- In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of -100 or longer, San Diego has a 22-23 record (winning 48.9% of its games).
- In the 105 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Padres, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-58-3).
- The Padres have covered 54.3% of their games this season, going 57-48-0 ATS.
Mets Player Leaders
- Juan Soto has 94 hits this season and a team-best OBP of .384. He has a .249 batting average and a slugging percentage of .491.
- Among all qualifying hitters in the majors, he ranks 98th in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and 25th in slugging.
- Francisco Lindor leads New York in slugging percentage (.438) thanks to 40 extra-base hits. He's batting .251 with an on-base percentage of .317.
- Among qualifying hitters, his batting average places him 95th, his on-base percentage 103rd, and his slugging percentage 70th.
- Pete Alonso leads New York in total hits (105) this season, and 49 of those have gone for extra bases.
- Brandon Nimmo has 19 home runs, 60 RBI and a batting average of .260 this season.
- Nimmo brings a two-game hitting streak into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .261 with two doubles, a home run and four RBIs.
Padres Player Leaders
- Manny Machado has racked up 124 hits with a .506 slugging percentage, both team-best statistics for the Padres. He's batting .302 and with an on-base percentage of .362.
- Including all the qualifying hitters in the majors, his batting average places him seventh, his on-base percentage ranks 28th, and he is 18th in slugging.
- Machado enters this game on a six-game hitting streak. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .410 with five doubles, a home run, three walks and six RBIs.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. leads his team with a .366 OBP. He has a batting average of .268 while slugging .451.
- Including all qualifying hitters, he is 58th in batting average, 24th in on-base percentage and 61st in slugging percentage.
- Luis Arraez is batting .292 with 20 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 20 walks.
- Xander Bogaerts is batting .270 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 43 walks.
Mets vs Padres Head to Head
- 7/28/2025: 7-6 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
- 8/25/2024: 3-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
- 8/24/2024: 7-1 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -144, Underdog Moneyline: +122)
- 8/23/2024: 7-0 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 8/22/2024: 8-3 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -158, Underdog Moneyline: +134)
- 6/16/2024: 11-6 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 6/15/2024: 5-1 NYM (Favorite: Mets, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -136, Underdog Moneyline: +116)
- 7/9/2023: 6-2 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -134, Underdog Moneyline: +114)
- 7/8/2023: 3-1 SD (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -178, Underdog Moneyline: +150)
- 7/7/2023: 7-5 NYM (Favorite: Padres, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -124, Underdog Moneyline: +106)
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