Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 1

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
• Coverage: KFAA and FDSOK

The Dallas Mavericks (21-38) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (46-15) after losing seven straight home games. The Thunder are heavy favorites by 15.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 1, 2026. The matchup's over/under is set at 231.5.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (78.3%)

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder have registered a 31-29-1 record against the spread this season.
• In the Mavericks' 59 games this season, they have 25 wins against the spread.
• This season, Thunder games have hit the over 35 times out of 59 chances.
• Mavericks games this year have gone over the point total 29 times in 59 opportunities (49.2%).
• Oklahoma City sports a worse record against the spread at home (15-17-0) than it does on the road (16-12-1).
• The Thunder have eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (50%) than road games (65.5%).
• Dallas' winning percentage against the spread at home is .469 (15-16-1). Away, it is .370 (10-17-0).
• Mavericks games have finished above the over/under 50% of the time at home (16 of 32), and 48.1% of the time on the road (13 of 27).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.9 points, 4.4 boards and 6.5 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Chet Holmgren averages 17.2 points, 9 rebounds and 1.8 assists.
• Cason Wallace averages 8.9 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.6 assists.
• Ajay Mitchell is averaging 14.1 points, 3.7 assists and 3.5 boards.
• Isaiah Hartenstein is averaging 10.6 points, 9.5 boards and 3.5 assists.

Mavericks Leaders

• Per game, Naji Marshall gives the Mavericks 15.4 points, 4.9 rebounds and 3.1 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocks.
• P.J. Washington's numbers on the season are 14.3 points, 7.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists per contest. He is draining 44.8% of his shots from the field and 30.6% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 treys.
• Brandon Williams averages 13 points, 2.9 boards and 3.9 assists. He is sinking 47.5% of his shots from the field.
• Max Christie averages 13.2 points, 3.4 boards and 2.2 assists. He is making 46.4% of his shots from the floor and 41.9% from beyond the arc, with 2.4 treys per game.
• Marvin Bagley III averages 10.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists. He is draining 62.3% of his shots from the floor.

For more NBA betting insights, check out FanDuel Research's NBA home page.

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