Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 1

Mavericks vs. Thunder Game Info

• Date: Sunday, March 1, 2026
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
• Coverage: KFAA and FDSOK

The Dallas Mavericks (21-38) are heavy underdogs (by 15.5 points) to stop a seven-game home losing streak when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (46-15) on Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 234.5 points.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Thunder win (78.3%)

Mavericks vs. Thunder Betting Trends

• The Thunder are 31-29-1 against the spread this season.
• The Mavericks are 25-33-1 against the spread this season.
• Thunder games have gone over the total 35 times out of 59 chances this season.
• Mavericks games this year have hit the over on 29 of 59 set point totals (49.2%).
• Against the spread, Oklahoma City has fared worse at home, covering 15 times in 32 home games, and 16 times in 29 road games.
• The Thunder have gone over the over/under less often at home, hitting the over in 16 of 32 home matchups (50%). On the road, they have hit the over in 19 of 29 games (65.5%).
• Against the spread, Dallas has performed better at home (15-16-1) than away (10-17-0).
• Mavericks games have finished above the over/under 50% of the time at home (16 of 32), and 48.1% of the time on the road (13 of 27).

Thunder Leaders

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.9 points, 4.4 boards and 6.5 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Chet Holmgren averages 17.2 points, 9 boards and 1.8 assists.
• Cason Wallace's numbers on the season are 8.9 points, 3.2 boards and 2.6 assists per contest, shooting 43.1% from the floor and 35.5% from downtown, with an average of 1.4 made 3-pointers.
• Isaiah Hartenstein averages 10.6 points, 9.5 boards and 3.5 assists, shooting 64.6% from the floor.
• Isaiah Joe averages 10.8 points, 2.6 boards and 1.5 assists, shooting 44.2% from the floor and 42.6% from beyond the arc, with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest.

Mavericks Leaders

• Naji Marshall's numbers on the season are 15.4 points, 4.9 boards and 3.1 assists per game. He is also sinking 53.1% of his shots from the floor.
• The Mavericks get 14.3 points per game from P.J. Washington, plus 7.1 rebounds and 1.9 assists.
• Per game, Brandon Williams provides the Mavericks 13 points, 2.9 boards and 3.9 assists, plus 1 steal and 0.2 blocks.
• The Mavericks get 13.2 points per game from Max Christie, plus 3.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists.
• The Mavericks get 11.5 points per game from Klay Thompson, plus 2.4 boards and 1.4 assists.

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