Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 27

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Game Info

• Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
• Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
• Coverage: KFAA, FDSSE, and WFAA

The Dallas Mavericks (21-37) are favored (by 4.5 points) to stop a six-game home losing streak when they host the Memphis Grizzlies (21-36) on Friday, February 27, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET. The point total is set at 238.5 for the matchup.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Grizzlies win (60.3%)

Mavericks vs. Grizzlies Betting Trends

• The Mavericks have covered the spread in a matchup 25 times this season (25-32-1).
• In the Grizzlies' 57 games this year, they have 25 wins against the spread.
• This season, Mavericks games have hit the over 29 times out of 57 chances.
• The Grizzlies have gone over the point total 49.1% of the time this season (28 of 57 games with a set point total).
• Dallas has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered 15 times in 31 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered 10 times in 27 opportunities in road games.
• The Mavericks have gone over the total in a higher percentage of home games (51.6%) than road tilts (48.1%).
• Memphis' winning percentage against the spread at home is .414 (12-17-0). On the road, it is .464 (13-14-1).
• In terms of the over/under, Grizzlies games have finished over more frequently at home (16 of 29, 55.2%) than on the road (12 of 28, 42.9%).

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg averages 20.4 points, 6.6 boards and 4.1 assists.
• Naji Marshall is averaging 15.6 points, 5 rebounds and 3.1 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• P.J. Washington's numbers on the season are 14.3 points, 7.1 boards and 1.9 assists per contest, shooting 44.8% from the field and 30.6% from beyond the arc, with an average of 1.2 made 3-pointers.
• Brandon Williams is averaging 12.9 points, 3.9 assists and 2.8 boards.
• Max Christie is averaging 13.2 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2.2 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Grizzlies Leaders

• Cam Spencer averages 11.2 points, 2.6 rebounds and 5.6 assists. He is also sinking 47.2% of his shots from the field and 44% from beyond the arc (eighth in NBA), with 2.1 triples per contest.
• Jaylen Wells averages 12.3 points, 3.4 rebounds and 1.7 assists. He is also draining 42% of his shots from the floor and 34% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per contest.
• The Grizzlies get 6.9 points per game from Walter Clayton Jr., plus 2 boards and 3.4 assists.
• GG Jackson's numbers on the season are 10.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest. He is draining 50.4% of his shots from the field and 34.7% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.1 triples.
• Per game, Taylor Hendricks provides the Grizzlies 5.8 points, 3.3 boards and 0.9 assists, plus 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.

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