Louisville vs Baylor College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 14

The Louisville Cardinals (18-6) will look to continue a four-game winning streak when they visit the Baylor Bears (13-11) on February 14, 2026 at Dickies Arena.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Louisville vs. Baylor Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 14, 2026
• Game time: 4 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Fort Worth, Texas
• Arena: Dickies Arena

Louisville vs. Baylor Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Louisville win (69.8%)

Before making a wager on Saturday's Louisville-Baylor spread (Louisville -6.5) or over/under (163.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.

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Louisville vs. Baylor: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Louisville has compiled a 13-11-0 record against the spread this season.
• Baylor is 10-13-0 ATS this year.
• As a 6.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Baylor is 1-2 against the spread compared to the 12-6 ATS record Louisville puts up as a 6.5-point favorite.
• The Cardinals have covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered nine times in 15 opportunities at home, and they've covered two times in seven opportunities in road games.
• The Bears have been better against the spread away (3-4-0) than at home (5-8-0) this year.

Louisville vs. Baylor: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Louisville has won in 12, or 80%, of the 15 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Cardinals have a mark of 9-1 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -310 or better on the moneyline.
• Baylor has been the underdog on the moneyline 10 total times this season. Baylor has gone 1-9 in those games.
• The Bears have played as a moneyline underdog of +245 or longer in only two games this season, which they lost both.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Louisville has a 75.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Louisville vs. Baylor Head-to-Head Comparison

• Louisville is outscoring opponents by 16.2 points per game with a +388 scoring differential overall. It puts up 87.1 points per game (16th in college basketball) and allows 70.9 per contest (100th in college basketball).
• Ryan Conwell ranks 61st in the country with a team-leading 18.9 points per game.
• Baylor's +192 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by eight points per game) is a result of putting up 83.9 points per game (35th in college basketball) while giving up 75.9 per contest (241st in college basketball).
• Cameron Carr is 37th in the nation with a team-high 19.8 points per game.
• The Cardinals win the rebound battle by an average of 7.2 boards. They are recording 38.1 rebounds per game (eighth in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 30.9 per outing.
• Sananda Fru is 219th in college basketball action with 6.5 rebounds per game to lead the Cardinals.
• The Bears win the rebound battle by 5.6 boards on average. They collect 35.1 rebounds per game, 51st in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.5.
• Caden Powell is 196th in the nation with 6.7 rebounds per game, leading the Bears.
• Louisville ranks 22nd in college basketball with 107.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 37th in college basketball defensively with 87.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Bears average 103.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (61st in college basketball), and give up 93.7 points per 100 possessions (155th in college basketball).

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