Louisiana vs Georgia State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Sun Belt Tournament

The No. 12 seed Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns (10-21, 7-11 Sun Belt) will play in the Sun Belt tournament against the No. 13 seed Georgia State Panthers (10-21, 7-11 Sun Belt) on Tuesday at Pensacola Bay Center, tipping off at 6 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Georgia State vs. Louisiana Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
• Game time: 6 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN+
• Location: Pensacola, Florida
• Arena: Pensacola Bay Center

Georgia State vs. Louisiana Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Georgia State win (57.7%)

Before you wager on Tuesday's Georgia State-Louisiana spread (Georgia State -1.5) or over/under (131.5 points), take a look at the betting trends and insights below.

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Georgia State vs. Louisiana: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Georgia State has won 13 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 16 times.
• Louisiana has won 14 games against the spread this year, while failing to cover 17 times.
• As a 1.5-point underdog or more in 2025-26, Louisiana is 11-15 against the spread compared to the 3-3 ATS record Georgia State racks up as a 1.5-point favorite.
• The Panthers have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered five times in 12 games when playing at home, and they've covered eight times in 15 games on the road.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Ragin' Cajuns have a better winning percentage at home (.533, 8-7-0 record) than on the road (.375, 6-10-0).
• Georgia State has 10 wins against the spread in 18 conference games this year.
• Louisiana's Sun Belt record against the spread is 8-10-0.

Georgia State vs. Louisiana: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Georgia State has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in five games this year and has walked away with the win two times (40%) in those games.
• This year, the Panthers have won two of five games when listed as at least -122 or better on the moneyline.
• Louisiana has won five of the 25 games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (20%).
• The Ragin' Cajuns have a 5-19 record (winning just 20.8% of their games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +102 or longer.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Georgia State has a 55% chance of walking away with the win.

Georgia State vs. Louisiana Head-to-Head Comparison

• Georgia State has a -129 scoring differential, falling short by 4.1 points per game. It is putting up 70.3 points per game to rank 303rd in college basketball and is allowing 74.4 per outing to rank 199th in college basketball.
• Jelani Hamilton's 17.7 points per game lead Georgia State and rank 109th in the country.
• Louisiana has been outscored by 7.3 points per game (posting 62.7 points per game, 363rd in college basketball, while allowing 70 per contest, 78th in college basketball) and has a -225 scoring differential.
• Dorian Finister is 341st in the nation with a team-high 14.5 points per game.
• The Panthers fall short in the rebound battle by an average of 4.1 boards. They are pulling down 31.4 rebounds per game (220th in college basketball) compared to their opponents' 35.5 per outing.
• Joah Chappelle is 472nd in college basketball play with 5.3 rebounds per game to lead the Panthers.
• The Ragin' Cajuns rank 350th in the nation at 27.3 rebounds per game. That's 2.9 fewer than the 30.2 their opponents average.
• Finister leads the team with 4.8 rebounds per game (678th in college basketball).
• Georgia State records 89.6 points per 100 possessions (331st in college basketball), while giving up 94.9 points per 100 possessions (168th in college basketball).
• The Ragin' Cajuns rank 344th in college basketball with 88.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 279th defensively with 98.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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