Iowa State vs TCU College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 10

The Iowa State Cyclones (21-2, 8-2 Big 12) will try to extend a five-game winning streak when they visit the TCU Horned Frogs (14-9, 4-6 Big 12) on February 10, 2026 at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Iowa State vs. TCU Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Tuesday, February 10, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: Fox Sports 1
• Location: Fort Worth, Texas
• Arena: Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena

Iowa State vs. TCU Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Iowa State win (69.3%)

Read the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Tuesday's Iowa State-TCU spread (Iowa State -7.5) or total (148.5 points).

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Iowa State vs. TCU: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Iowa State has compiled a 13-10-0 ATS record so far this year.
• TCU has covered 11 times in 23 matchups with a spread this year.
• Iowa State covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point favorite or more 56.2% of the time. That's less often than TCU covers as an underdog of 7.5 or more (80%).
• Against the spread, the Cyclones have performed worse when playing at home, covering six times in 13 home games, and four times in six road games.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Horned Frogs have a lower winning percentage at home (.333, 5-10-0 record) than on the road (.600, 3-2-0).
• Iowa State's record against the spread in conference play is 6-4-0.
• TCU has four wins against the spread in 10 Big 12 games this season.

Iowa State vs. TCU: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Iowa State has won in 16, or 88.9%, of the 18 contests it has been named as the moneyline favorite in this year.
• The Cyclones have not lost in 12 games this year when favored by -375 or better on the moneyline.
• TCU has a 3-5 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 37.5% of those games).
• The Horned Frogs are 1-3 (winning only 25% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +290 or longer.
• Iowa State has an implied victory probability of 78.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Iowa State vs. TCU Head-to-Head Comparison

• Iowa State outscores opponents by 20.9 points per game (scoring 85.9 per game to rank 21st in college basketball while giving up 65.0 per contest to rank 16th in college basketball) and has a +481 scoring differential overall.
• Milan Momcilovic is 62nd in the country with a team-high 18.7 points per game.
• TCU puts up 78.9 points per game (121st in college basketball) while allowing 72.0 per outing (130th in college basketball). It has a +160 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 6.9 points per game.
• TCU's leading scorer, David Punch, is 355th in the nation, putting up 14.3 points per game.
• The Cyclones average 33.8 rebounds per game (101st in college basketball) while conceding 26.9 per outing to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 6.9 boards per game.
• Joshua Jefferson averages 7.7 rebounds per game (ranking 91st in college basketball) to lead the Cyclones.
• The Horned Frogs win the rebound battle by 2.3 boards on average. They collect 32.0 rebounds per game, 200th in college basketball, while their opponents grab 29.7.
• Punch is 136th in college basketball with 7.2 rebounds per game, leading the Horned Frogs.
• Iowa State ranks 11th in college basketball by averaging 109.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 10th in college basketball, allowing 83.2 points per 100 possessions.
• The Horned Frogs rank 149th in college basketball with 99.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 78th defensively with 90.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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