Houston vs Baylor College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 4

Big 12 action on Wednesday will see the the No. 7 Houston Cougars (24-5, 12-4 Big 12) host the Baylor Bears (15-14, 5-11 Big 12) at Fertitta Center, starting at 9 p.m. ET.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Houston vs. Baylor Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 4, 2026
• Game time: 9 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN2
• Location: Houston, Texas
• Arena: Fertitta Center

Houston vs. Baylor Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Houston win (85.5%)

See the betting trends and insights below before making a bet on Wednesday's Houston-Baylor spread (Houston -15.5) or over/under (141.5 points).

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Houston vs. Baylor: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Houston has put together a 15-14-0 record against the spread this season.
• Baylor has compiled a 12-16-0 record against the spread this season.
• The Cougars own a better record against the spread at home (9-6-0) than they do in road games (4-4-0).
• This year, the Bears are 6-9-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). Away, they are 4-5-0 ATS (.444).
• Houston is 9-7-0 against the spread in conference games this season.
• Baylor has six wins against the spread in 16 Big 12 games this year.

Houston vs. Baylor: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Houston has come away with 20 wins in the 24 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• The Cougars have been a -1299 moneyline favorite on 10 occasions this season and won every game.
• Baylor is 2-11 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 15.4% of those games).
• The Bears have played as a moneyline underdog of +760 or longer in just one game this season, which they lost.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Houston has a 92.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Houston vs. Baylor Head-to-Head Comparison

• Last season, Houston was 182nd in the nation on offense (73.7 points scored per game) and best defensively (58.7 points conceded).
• On the glass, Houston was 96th in the country in rebounds (33.3 per game) last year. It was 10th-best in rebounds conceded (26.9 per game).
• With 12.0 assists per game last year, Houston was 292nd in the nation.
• In terms of turnovers, Houston was third-best in the country in committing them (8.4 per game) last year. It was 85th in forcing them (12.3 per game).
• Baylor was 112th in the nation last season with 76.1 points per game. At the other end, it ranked 104th with 69.8 points allowed per game.
• Last year Baylor pulled down 32.8 boards per game (135th-ranked in college basketball) and gave up 29.9 rebounds per contest (94th-ranked).
• Last year Baylor ranked 111th in college basketball in assists, dishing out 14.4 per game.
• Baylor committed 10.1 turnovers per game (79th-ranked in college basketball). It forced 12.1 turnovers per contest (100th-ranked).

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