AU - Mount Gambier - Race 9

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

7.7f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

16.3K

VIEW

Verdict

LISA LASS (5) never stopped trying in bog conditions first-up at Warrnambool. Is sure to have come on from that and will appreciate the rise in trip, though will need a smart steer from a wide draw. With even luck she'll be fighting out the finish. ROYAL INFERENCE (1) made the perfect return at Ararat when getting the bob. Drawn much kinder second-up and with added fitness he can make it two on the bounce. RHINESTONE RORY (6) took 38 starts to break his maiden but he did it in style last start when leading all the way at Bordertown. Full of confidence now and can keep the ball rolling. SCENIC HOST (9) was no match for an impressive winner last time over the 1 ¼m but still did a good job to hold second. Drops back to a preferred trip and is a winner here. In the mix. TIMEONLEES (7) returns an strips fitter for trio of hitouts. Peaks measure right-up, though the draw will test Milnes.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second-up. First-up after three months 3rd of 16 at Warrnambool F&M Bm70 on May 7 over 7f, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind Geffina carrying 121lbs at $21. Previously second-up won by a neck at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw January 30 over 7 ½f defeating Costa Paros with 127lbs at $4.80. Further improvement in store. 1st Pick 5 Lisa Lass Jockey: Tom Madden Trainer: Aaron Purcell J: Tom Madden T: Aaron Purcell	205	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after three months 3rd of 16 at Warrnambool F&M Bm70 on May 7 over 7f, on a wet track, 1.5 len behind Geffina carrying 121lbs at $21. Previously second-up won by a neck at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw January 30 over 7 ½f defeating Costa Paros with 127lbs at $4.80. Further improvement in store.
1	Second run back. First-up after four months won by a nose at Ararat Cg&E 0 - 56 May 9 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Squagaga carrying 131lbs at $7. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Warracknabeal 0 - 58 on July 12 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Budjik Boy carrying 132lbs at $4.40. Back in fine order and is sure to measure up. 2nd Pick 1 Royal Inference Jockey: Melissa Julius Trainer: Peter Chow J: Melissa Julius T: Peter Chow	117	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after four months won by a nose at Ararat Cg&E 0 - 56 May 9 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Squagaga carrying 131lbs at $7. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Warracknabeal 0 - 58 on July 12 over 6f, slow going 1.75 len behind Budjik Boy carrying 132lbs at $4.40. Back in fine order and is sure to measure up.
6	Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, won by 1.75 len at Bordertown 3yo+ Mdn-Sw May 1 over 7 ¾f defeating Discreetly Blue with 128lbs at $2.40. The start before that held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Stawell Mdn-Sw on April 17 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Stylish Prince carrying 131lbs at $21. Expected to take some running down. 3rd Pick 6 Rhinestone Rory Jockey: Campbell Rawiller Trainer: J & L Dodgson J: Campbell Rawiller T: J & L Dodgson	90	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently favourite, won by 1.75 len at Bordertown 3yo+ Mdn-Sw May 1 over 7 ¾f defeating Discreetly Blue with 128lbs at $2.40. The start before that held ground to the line 3rd of 10 at Stawell Mdn-Sw on April 17 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Stylish Prince carrying 131lbs at $21. Expected to take some running down.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.