AU - Casterton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

19.3K

VIEW

Verdict

ULTRA BLUE (1) saluted at Warrnambool two runs ago. Fair effort last time out when in contention on the bend before finishing third over 7f at Warrnambool, beaten 1.3 lengths. Finds the right race this time and can rediscover winning form. FREAK OF NATURE (5) will take a lot of confidence out of the last-start win and while he can be hit or miss at the start, he's got the ability to go on with things here. ALWAYS HAPI (2) will be much fitter for the two runs back and was far from disgraced behind a promising type last start. SHOOTER MCGAVIN (6) was quickly into stride and went on to score by half a length last time out over 6 ½f at Stawell. Finds a tougher race but this looks well within his grasp. EMERALD REWARD (4) has not won for a long while. Last raced on April 18 when beaten 7 lengths into 12th at Morphettville Parks over 7f. This doesn't look as hard so he can return to the winners' list.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Form hard to fault. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 16 at Warrnambool Bm70 on May 6 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Dantooine with 131lbs at $4.60. The start before that favourite, scored a big 5 len win at Warrnambool Bm62 March 26 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Stay Silent carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Rates highly. Lovely race for a consistent type who is well in after the claim. 1st Pick 1 Ultra Blue Jockey: Chelsea Thompson Trainer: Tom Dabernig J: Chelsea Thompson T: Tom Dabernig	155	-	-	-	43%	11/8
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 3rd of 16 at Warrnambool Bm70 on May 6 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Dantooine with 131lbs at $4.60. The start before that favourite, scored a big 5 len win at Warrnambool Bm62 March 26 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Stay Silent carrying 131lbs at $4.60. Rates highly. Lovely race for a consistent type who is well in after the claim.
5	Most recently favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len at Donald 0-62 May 2 over 6 ¾f defeating Vores carrying 131lbs at $2.25. The run before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Wodonga Bm62 on April 20 over 6 ½f, 0.8 len behind Sargeant Stan carrying 131lbs at $4. Has the tail up after last-start win and can go on with it. 2nd Pick 5 Freak Of Nature Jockey: Dean Yendall Trainer: Jason Warren J: Dean Yendall T: Jason Warren	133	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 2.25 len at Donald 0-62 May 2 over 6 ¾f defeating Vores carrying 131lbs at $2.25. The run before that ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at Wodonga Bm62 on April 20 over 6 ½f, 0.8 len behind Sargeant Stan carrying 131lbs at $4. Has the tail up after last-start win and can go on with it.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 8 at Terang Bm78 on April 12 over 6f, on a wet track, 7 len behind Salsa Fellow carrying 121lbs at $14. Second run from a spell eased back early on 4th in a small field at Geelong Bm62 on May 1 over 6 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Celtics carrying 131lbs at $26. Cannot be disregarded. 3rd Pick 2 Always Hapi Jockey: Jason Webb Trainer: Vincent Malady J: Jason Webb T: Vincent Malady	88	-	-	-	3%	40/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming ran last of 8 at Terang Bm78 on April 12 over 6f, on a wet track, 7 len behind Salsa Fellow carrying 121lbs at $14. Second run from a spell eased back early on 4th in a small field at Geelong Bm62 on May 1 over 6 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Celtics carrying 131lbs at $26. Cannot be disregarded.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.