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5:50 AM

AU - Casterton - Race 6

Thoroughbred
11 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
19.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SOUTHERN CRESCENT (6) was in the firing line all the way and fought on for third last start over 5 ½f at Warrnambool, making it two minor placings in a row. Finds a more suitable contest and can get the job done. DOBKINS (8) finished second last start over 6f at Warrnambool, beaten a nose by a rival here in The Kill Club. This is a more suitable contest and can take this out. ALLINTHETIMING (2) has been kept fresh since picking up a minor prize over 6 ¾f at Donald. Should be right up to the mark after a recent Ararat trial. Rates highly and is among the main hopes. THE KILL CLUB (10) was a gutsy winner at Warrnambool over the Carnival and there's no reason he can't give them something to catch again. SACRAMENTAL (5) hasn't been able to break through for an extended period, the latest effort a 11th over 6f at Seymour but looks well-placed here and can fill a top-three spot.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
6
Southern Crescent silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Warrnambool Bm78 on May 7 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Salsa Fellow with 119lbs at $5.50. The start before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at Geelong Bm70 on April 22 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Wingsandpropellers carrying 125lbs at $21. Repeat of last run would go close in this.

1st Pick
6

Southern Crescent

Jockey: Melissa Julius

Trainer: Aaron Purcell

J: Melissa Julius

T: Aaron Purcell

151---25%3/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at Warrnambool Bm78 on May 7 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Salsa Fellow with 119lbs at $5.50. The start before that came home strongly from last on the turn, 3rd of 11 at Geelong Bm70 on April 22 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Wingsandpropellers carrying 125lbs at $21. Repeat of last run would go close in this.

8
Dobkins silk

At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 5 over 6f, on rain affected going, nose behind The Kill Club with 128lbs at $11. The run before that raced on the pace before fading 7th of 11 at Geelong 0 - 66 on April 1 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Sussex Duchess with 128lbs at $5.50. Only just missed at The Bool last start, so can progress here.

2nd Pick
8

Dobkins

Jockey: Jack Hill

Trainer: Symon Wilde

J: Jack Hill

T: Symon Wilde

108---20%4/1

Analysis

At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 11 at Warrnambool Bm66 on May 5 over 6f, on rain affected going, nose behind The Kill Club with 128lbs at $11. The run before that raced on the pace before fading 7th of 11 at Geelong 0 - 66 on April 1 over 6 ½f, 5.5 len behind Sussex Duchess with 128lbs at $5.50. Only just missed at The Bool last start, so can progress here.

2
Allinthetiming silk

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 33-day let-up. Last start 3rd of 8 at Donald Bm62 on April 14 over 6 ¾f, 5 len behind Dramaticus with 140lbs at $2.70. The run before that came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a head at Mt Gambier Bm66 March 22 over 6f defeating Hasta La Chilly carrying 131lbs at $3.10. Capable of big final splits.

3rd Pick
2

Allinthetiming

Jockey: Will Gordon

Trainer: Patrick Payne

J: Will Gordon

T: Patrick Payne

110---16%11/2

Analysis

Recent form sound. Comes here off a 33-day let-up. Last start 3rd of 8 at Donald Bm62 on April 14 over 6 ¾f, 5 len behind Dramaticus with 140lbs at $2.70. The run before that came home strongly from last on the turn and won by a head at Mt Gambier Bm66 March 22 over 6f defeating Hasta La Chilly carrying 131lbs at $3.10. Capable of big final splits.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

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A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

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An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.