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4:35 AM

AU - Casterton - Race 4

Thoroughbred
7 Runners
18.9f
Unknown
Turf
SOFT 6
57.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

He's got 162lbs, but it's hard to go against THE MIGHTY SPAR (1) who is unbeaten in four runs here and is within 6lbs of most other runners in the race. GOLDEN GARDEN (5) is the up-and-comer who could test the topweight coming off a nice win over the fences at The Bool. COUNT ZERO (2) didn't finish in the Grand Annual, but he hates Heavy ground, so is likely better suited here and did beat The Mighty Spar at his previous steeplechase start. FABALOT (3) has been a model of consistency this prep who is ready for a crack at the fences. CASTROFRANCARU (4) got within seven lengths of the champ Stern Idol in the Brierly, which looks good form for this.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
The Mighty Spar silk

Useful gelding. Last start finished fourth of 9 starters at Warrnambool Gr Annual on May 7 over 3m, on rain affected going, 75 len behind Instigator carrying 149lbs at $19. Race before finished fourth of 7 starters at Warrnambool Brierly on May 5 over 2m, on heavy track, 15 len behind Stern Idol carrying 149lbs at $11. Yet to taste defeat at this circuit so he can return to form.

1st Pick
1

The Mighty Spar

Jockey: Steven Pateman

Trainer: Mark Walker

J: Steven Pateman

T: Mark Walker

195---25%3/1

Analysis

Useful gelding. Last start finished fourth of 9 starters at Warrnambool Gr Annual on May 7 over 3m, on rain affected going, 75 len behind Instigator carrying 149lbs at $19. Race before finished fourth of 7 starters at Warrnambool Brierly on May 5 over 2m, on heavy track, 15 len behind Stern Idol carrying 149lbs at $11. Yet to taste defeat at this circuit so he can return to form.

5
Golden Garden silk

Last run won by 1.3 len Warrnambool Bm120 Chase on May 6 over 2m on heavy track defeating Pressfal carrying 151lbs at $2.60 in a jumps. Start before finished seventh of 12 starters at Horsham Bm56 on April 27 over 1 5/16m, 6 len behind Wimmera Star with 131lbs at $21. Racing well. All set to continue the fine recent jumping form.

2nd Pick
5

Golden Garden

Jockey: Dean Parker

Trainer: Symon Wilde

J: Dean Parker

T: Symon Wilde

186---35%15/8

Analysis

Last run won by 1.3 len Warrnambool Bm120 Chase on May 6 over 2m on heavy track defeating Pressfal carrying 151lbs at $2.60 in a jumps. Start before finished seventh of 12 starters at Horsham Bm56 on April 27 over 1 5/16m, 6 len behind Wimmera Star with 131lbs at $21. Racing well. All set to continue the fine recent jumping form.

2
Count Zero silk

Last run didn't finish the race at Warrnambool Gr Annual on May 7 over 3m. Run before ran last at Stawell Bm62 on April 5 over 1 ¹¹/16m, 19 len behind Whisky Moon carrying 127lbs at $71. Can bounce back here on firmer ground.

3rd Pick
2

Count Zero

Jockey: Will Gordon

Trainer: Symon Wilde

J: Will Gordon

T: Symon Wilde

137---16%11/2

Analysis

Last run didn't finish the race at Warrnambool Gr Annual on May 7 over 3m. Run before ran last at Stawell Bm62 on April 5 over 1 ¹¹/16m, 19 len behind Whisky Moon carrying 127lbs at $71. Can bounce back here on firmer ground.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.