AU - Ararat - Race 5

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

15.9K

VIEW

Verdict

TORI'S DEE (1) showed good early dash and raced on the speed last start before fading to finish 1.5 lengths back in fourth over 5 ½f at Moe. That was a stronger race than this and he should be at peak fitness now. AMERICAN RUSS (3) finished fourth over 5 ½f at Hamilton when resuming last start, beaten only 0.6 lengths. Has a fair record when second up, including three top-three finishes. Nicely placed to find winning form. FACTUALLY (7) showed early speed from an outside draw and held a forward position before fading to finish fifth, beaten 2.25 lengths, last start over 5f at Donald. Had been racing consistently before that, so warrants another chance. SPINHOF (6) has been around the mark in 56 grade of late, so he'll relish competing against these rivals. Just needs luck from the gate. GOPHER FRANK (2) has been beaten similar margins at two runs for the new stable and looks ready to peak.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Third-up today. First-up led to the turn then faded 5th of 10 at Geelong Bm62 on April 10 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind I'mateez with 115lbs at $101. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 13 at Moe 0 - 56 on April 25 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Affirmative Lad with 121lbs at $9. Racing well. Peak fitness now and strikes the most winnable race of the campaign. 1st Pick 1 Tori's Dee Jockey: Chelsea Thompson Trainer: Jamie Edwards J: Chelsea Thompson T: Jamie Edwards	119	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up led to the turn then faded 5th of 10 at Geelong Bm62 on April 10 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind I'mateez with 115lbs at $101. Second run from a spell tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 13 at Moe 0 - 56 on April 25 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Affirmative Lad with 121lbs at $9. Racing well. Peak fitness now and strikes the most winnable race of the campaign.
3	Having second run back today. Last run 4th of 9 at Hamilton Bm56 on April 7 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Kamezali with 127lbs at $15. At only start last preparation sat on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 12 at Wagga Cl1 on December 24 over 6f, 6 len behind Rose Aye carrying 121lbs at $61. Strips fitter and is one of the leading chances. 2nd Pick 3 American Russ Jockey: Campbell Rawiller Trainer: Tony Waddell J: Campbell Rawiller T: Tony Waddell	133	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Having second run back today. Last run 4th of 9 at Hamilton Bm56 on April 7 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 0.6 len behind Kamezali with 127lbs at $15. At only start last preparation sat on the speed throughout before fading 7th of 12 at Wagga Cl1 on December 24 over 6f, 6 len behind Rose Aye carrying 121lbs at $61. Strips fitter and is one of the leading chances.
7	Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at Donald 0 - 56 on May 2 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Over Shady with 123lbs at $9. The race before that 2nd of 10 at Stawell Bm56 on April 17 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Icy Pole with 120lbs at $14. Capable enough on her day and is a key runner. 3rd Pick 7 Factually Jockey: Dylan Dean Trainer: Charles Cassar J: Dylan Dean T: Charles Cassar	122	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at Donald 0 - 56 on May 2 over 5f, 2.25 len behind Over Shady with 123lbs at $9. The race before that 2nd of 10 at Stawell Bm56 on April 17 over 5 ½f, 2 len behind Icy Pole with 120lbs at $14. Capable enough on her day and is a key runner.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.