AU - Ararat - Race 4

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

15.9K

VIEW

Verdict

The first of a couple of BM52s on the card and the emergencies look to be the testing material. OLIVIA'S SCANDAL (15) went around in a 0-62 at Donald last time and was far from disgraced when beaten 3-3/4 lengths. She placed at her previous five runs, including a long neck second at Warracknabeal three back, a repeat of which would go very close here. FIRST FIFTEEN (16) looked set to race through the grades after a lovely fresh win but has been poor at her past two. This is the right race to get her back into form. ZAMORA (1) went close first-up after trialling well, so he's obviously come back well and draws to get every chance here. RAIN LORD (5) is hard to have off the last run, but the two earlier runs this prep were encouraging and he just needs luck from the draw. LONG LOST FRIEND (3) is a recent Camperdown trial winner who has a win and two placings from six first-up runs, so a big run would not shock.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
15	Most recently 5th of 12 at Donald 0-62 on May 2 over 6 ¾f, 4 len behind Freak Of Nature carrying 125lbs at $5. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Swan Hill Bm62 on April 21 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Mr Butt's Boats carrying 125lbs at $4.20. Can improve enough to take this out. 1st Pick 15 Olivia's Scandal Jockey: Chelsea Taylor Trainer: Jordy Coffey J: Chelsea Taylor T: Jordy Coffey	153	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently 5th of 12 at Donald 0-62 on May 2 over 6 ¾f, 4 len behind Freak Of Nature carrying 125lbs at $5. The run before that 2nd of 12 at Swan Hill Bm62 on April 21 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Mr Butt's Boats carrying 125lbs at $4.20. Can improve enough to take this out.
16	Comes here off a 46-day let-up. Most recently sat on the pace before fading second last of 10 at Yarra Valley F&M Bm56 on March 24 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind Moose Jaw with 128lbs at $6. Before that raced on the pace before fading second last of 8 at Pakenham Cl1 on March 6 over 6f, 7 len behind Azzacool with 126lbs at $19. Nicely placed and deserves another chance. 2nd Pick 16 First Fifteen Jockey: Zac Moore Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Zac Moore T: Ciaron Maher	93	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Comes here off a 46-day let-up. Most recently sat on the pace before fading second last of 10 at Yarra Valley F&M Bm56 on March 24 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind Moose Jaw with 128lbs at $6. Before that raced on the pace before fading second last of 8 at Pakenham Cl1 on March 6 over 6f, 7 len behind Azzacool with 126lbs at $19. Nicely placed and deserves another chance.
1	Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 12 at Wangaratta 0 - 56 on May 3 over 5 ½f, slow going neck behind Melodee Rose carrying 131lbs at $21. Previously second-up won by 0.8 len at Gunbower Mdn October 4 over 5 ½f defeating Brilliant Beagle carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Fitter and worth following up. 3rd Pick 1 Zamora Jockey: Dylan Dean Trainer: Charles Cassar J: Dylan Dean T: Charles Cassar	116	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd of 12 at Wangaratta 0 - 56 on May 3 over 5 ½f, slow going neck behind Melodee Rose carrying 131lbs at $21. Previously second-up won by 0.8 len at Gunbower Mdn October 4 over 5 ½f defeating Brilliant Beagle carrying 128lbs at $4.80. Fitter and worth following up.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Superfecta

A wager involving choosing the first, second, third, and fourth horses in one race in the exact order. A superfecta box involves paying more to ensure they can finish in any order in the top four spots.