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3:31 AM

AU - Ararat - Race 3

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
5.5f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 5
23.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LUCKY SINGLE (9) has an ugly gate to contend with, but she sat wide throughout to win her most recent trial, at Caulfield, seemingly with a bit in hand. Showed a good turn of foot to win a Cranbourne jumpout before that, so she looks primed to go for the debut. RUDOLFINA (14) is one of a few 2YOs taking on the older horses and connections thought enough of her to test her at Listed level last start. She's much better suited back to this grade and draws beautifully. FIERCE DREAMS (8) has been knocking on the door this prep and while she meets some handy ones here, she does have the advantage of race fitness on a few of the dangers. DEL LIRENZA (13) is another 2YO who warrants respect being from the McEvoy yard and the jumpouts suggest she's capable of playing a role. YOU'REMYWONDERWALL (6) is on debut, so will be better for the outing, but has impressed at the jumpouts and draws to play a key role.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Lucky Single silk

Filly by Lucky Vega on debut. Won trial at Caulfield Heath over 5f on April 23. Been trialling like she's going to make an immediate impression.

1st Pick
9

Lucky Single

Jockey: Joe Bowditch

Trainer: Mark Walker

J: Joe Bowditch

T: Mark Walker

52---19%9/2

Analysis

Filly by Lucky Vega on debut. Won trial at Caulfield Heath over 5f on April 23. Been trialling like she's going to make an immediate impression.

14
Rudolfina silk

At the latest run 7th of 9 at Morphettville in the LR Without Fear on April 11 over 5 ¼f, slow going 5 len behind Verzain carrying 122lbs at $51. Before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Cranbourne 2yo Mdn-Sw on March 27 over 5f, slow going 1.5 len behind Sunbliss carrying 123lbs at $4. Should prove hard to beat in this much more suitable assignment.

2nd Pick
14

Rudolfina

Jockey: Cian Macredmond

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Cian Macredmond

T: Ciaron Maher

132---17%5/1

Analysis

At the latest run 7th of 9 at Morphettville in the LR Without Fear on April 11 over 5 ¼f, slow going 5 len behind Verzain carrying 122lbs at $51. Before that raced on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Cranbourne 2yo Mdn-Sw on March 27 over 5f, slow going 1.5 len behind Sunbliss carrying 123lbs at $4. Should prove hard to beat in this much more suitable assignment.

8
Fierce Dreams silk

Racing well recently. Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Wodonga Mdn-Sw on April 20 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Tutto Finito with 126lbs at $3. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 30 over 6f, neck behind Miss Ellaneous with 123lbs at $3.20. Rates highly and looks sure be in the finish.

3rd Pick
8

Fierce Dreams

Jockey: Adam Mccabe

Trainer: Nick Ryan

J: Adam Mccabe

T: Nick Ryan

168---15%6/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Most recently came from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Wodonga Mdn-Sw on April 20 over 5 ½f, 1.5 len behind Tutto Finito with 126lbs at $3. The start before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 8 at this track 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 30 over 6f, neck behind Miss Ellaneous with 123lbs at $3.20. Rates highly and looks sure be in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.