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5:52 AM

AU2 - Melton - Race 4

Harness
10 Runners
8.5f
Unknown
Synthetic
2.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

FREAK OUT (2) looks close to a win having placed in his last three outings, last time coming from wider and working but sticking on for a 1.4m second at Kilmore. The good draw gives him the chance to break through. PICKLE IT (1) is another with the hoof on the till after placing in two of three starts so far this campaign. Led from a few spots wider and sticking on for a 1.5m second at Geelong last week. Should be nearing peak fitness now and has the speed to take advantage of the ace draw. Hard to knock the consistency of MIDNITE DESIRE (5) who has put together a string of top-three finishes. Came from the back row to be beaten only 1.8m last start and was a Cranbourne winner three back. MIKI MARK (8) draws for a trail and could be dangerous with the sprint lane in play.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Freak Out silk

Fair run when beaten by 6 m finishing third behind Our Bella Lucia at this track over 1m in a NR 42 to 45 on May 1 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.4 m finishing second behind Treacheroustimes at Kilmore over 1 m in a NR up to 45 on May 7 at $4.40. Capable of testing this line-up.

1st Pick
2

Freak Out

Jockey: Michael Bellman

Trainer: Dianne Giles

J: Michael Bellman

T: Dianne Giles

77---25%3/1

Analysis

Fair run when beaten by 6 m finishing third behind Our Bella Lucia at this track over 1m in a NR 42 to 45 on May 1 at $26. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.4 m finishing second behind Treacheroustimes at Kilmore over 1 m in a NR up to 45 on May 7 at $4.40. Capable of testing this line-up.

1
Pickle It silk

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr4) over 1m after showing early pace at Geelong beaten 1.5 m by The Mountain (1:59.30) in NR up to 39 on May 8 at $2.60. In the mix from the inside draw.

2nd Pick
1

Pickle It

Jockey: Taylor Ford

Trainer: J F Pengelly

J: Taylor Ford

T: J F Pengelly

76---23%7/2

Analysis

Improved last start with a good run when 2nd (Fr4) over 1m after showing early pace at Geelong beaten 1.5 m by The Mountain (1:59.30) in NR up to 39 on May 8 at $2.60. In the mix from the inside draw.

5
Midnite Desire silk

Solid performance when beaten by 2.5 m finishing second behind Village Voice at Ararat over 1 5/16m in a NR 38 to 42 on April 27 at $2.80. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.75 m finishing third behind Treacheroustimes at Kilmore over 1 m in a NR up to 45 on May 7 at $4.80. One of the key runners.

3rd Pick
5

Midnite Desire

Jockey: James Herbertson

Trainer: Joseph Galea

J: James Herbertson

T: Joseph Galea

75---20%4/1

Analysis

Solid performance when beaten by 2.5 m finishing second behind Village Voice at Ararat over 1 5/16m in a NR 38 to 42 on April 27 at $2.80. Then a handy effort when beaten by 1.75 m finishing third behind Treacheroustimes at Kilmore over 1 m in a NR up to 45 on May 7 at $4.80. One of the key runners.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.