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4:40 AM

AU - Gunnedah - Race 6

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
6.2f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
25.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ARAPAWA (4) went around at $1.28 in a similar race to this at Muswellbrook two back and was defeated in a boil-over. Fair effort subsequently in better company over 6 ½f at Scone. Cherry ripe and from a nice draw gets his chance at redemption. Lightly raced filly INDI SPRINGS (6) returned with a very soft all-the-way maiden win two back at Bathurst then tried to repeat the feat but found one better at the end of 6f at Quirindi last time out. Still progressing and is sure to take plenty of catching. WATER LAD (3) last raced 45 days ago when he tailed off over 6 ¼f at Taree. Can improve sharply while fresh with a couple of key gear changes. TRUMPTY DUMPTY (5) has hit the line well in his two runs this prep, both over 5 ½f. Back in class today and nicely placed over a bit more ground. MAGIC FLYER (2) did his best work late when resuming over 5f at Tamworth last start. Can play a key role with that run under his belt.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Arapawa silk

Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 16 at Scone Cl2 on May 15 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Brutal Belle carrying 121lbs at $31. The race before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Muswellbrook Ctry Bm58 on May 1 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Orsum carrying 134lbs at $1.28. Down in grade today and can bounce back.

1st Pick
4

Arapawa

Jockey: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren

Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough

J: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren

T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough

216---29%5/2

Analysis

Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 16 at Scone Cl2 on May 15 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Brutal Belle carrying 121lbs at $31. The race before that made ground from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Muswellbrook Ctry Bm58 on May 1 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Orsum carrying 134lbs at $1.28. Down in grade today and can bounce back.

6
Indi Springs silk

Third-up today. First-up scored a big 4 len win at Bathurst Ctry Mdn-Sw April 25 over 5 ½f on a soft track defeating Mitaka with 125lbs at $1.45. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 14 at Quirindi Cl1 on May 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Dingle Grey with 125lbs at $3.40. Profiles nicely. Promising filly who will give them something to catch.

2nd Pick
6

Indi Springs

Jockey: Aaron Bullock

Trainer: Mack Griffith

J: Aaron Bullock

T: Mack Griffith

175---37%7/4

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up scored a big 4 len win at Bathurst Ctry Mdn-Sw April 25 over 5 ½f on a soft track defeating Mitaka with 125lbs at $1.45. Last start set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 14 at Quirindi Cl1 on May 11 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Dingle Grey with 125lbs at $3.40. Profiles nicely. Promising filly who will give them something to catch.

3
Water Lad silk

Returns from a 45-day let-up. Most recently ran last of 11 at Taree Bm66 on April 9 over 6 ¼f, slow going 18 len behind Toomuchinformation carrying 128lbs at $8.50. The run before that got back early 8th of 10 at Muswellbrook Wayne Harris 87 on March 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Miss Busslinger carrying 121lbs at $101. Worth one more chance off a 44-day let-up.

3rd Pick
3

Water Lad

Jockey: Luke Rolls

Trainer: Brett & Georgie Cavanough

J: Luke Rolls

T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough

96---6%18/1

Analysis

Returns from a 45-day let-up. Most recently ran last of 11 at Taree Bm66 on April 9 over 6 ¼f, slow going 18 len behind Toomuchinformation carrying 128lbs at $8.50. The run before that got back early 8th of 10 at Muswellbrook Wayne Harris 87 on March 27 over 6f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Miss Busslinger carrying 121lbs at $101. Worth one more chance off a 44-day let-up.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bute

Shortened word for phenylbutazone, the common non-steroidal medication legal at most racetrack.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.