AU - Coffs Harbour - Race 9

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 10

19.4K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

STORM MERCHANT (6) knocked up late from the sticky draw when he went forward to finish third over 5f at Grafton. Expected to have come on strongly for this and gets every chance from the gate. FALL FOR AUTUMN (12) back in trip in the heavy conditions with a battling second over 6f at this track. Fitter now and well placed in this line-up. BONDI PROPHET (11) is in career-best form and will relish the weight drop on the quick back-up. Adept in all conditions and capable of testing this field. SUPER JAIE (10) gave a good account of himself in stronger company when he closed late to finish third over 7f at Grafton in BM66 class. Each-way. The chances don't end there.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Second-up. First-up after four months led but faded 3rd of 7 at Grafton Cl2 on April 19 over 5f, 2 len behind Rich Star with 126lbs at $1.90. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Ipswich 3yo Bm62 on December 10 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Saxobushi with 123lbs at $2.70. Fitter now and will take catching. 1st Pick 6 Storm Merchant Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Matthew Dunn J: Non Runner T: Matthew Dunn	158	-	-	-	37%	Scratched
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months led but faded 3rd of 7 at Grafton Cl2 on April 19 over 5f, 2 len behind Rich Star with 126lbs at $1.90. Previously second-up 4th of 8 at Ipswich 3yo Bm62 on December 10 over 5 ½f, 4 len behind Saxobushi with 123lbs at $2.70. Fitter now and will take catching.
12	Most recently sat on the pace when 2nd of 9 at this track Cl1 on April 24 over 6f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Diva Rouge carrying 126lbs at $7.50. The run before that 6th of 11 at Grafton Cl2 Bm62 on April 7 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Fiction Society carrying 126lbs at $12. Deep into the prep and due for a change of luck. 2nd Pick 12 Fall For Autumn Jockey: Karl Zechner Trainer: Brett Bellamy J: Karl Zechner T: Brett Bellamy	111	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Most recently sat on the pace when 2nd of 9 at this track Cl1 on April 24 over 6f, on rain affected going, 4 len behind Diva Rouge carrying 126lbs at $7.50. The run before that 6th of 11 at Grafton Cl2 Bm62 on April 7 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Fiction Society carrying 126lbs at $12. Deep into the prep and due for a change of luck.
11	Dual acceptor. Racing well recently. Last start 2nd of 8 at Kempsey Bm50 on April 25 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Incantress with 133lbs at $3.20. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.6 len at Tuncurry Bm50 April 18 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Grand Voile with 130lbs at $4.80. Improver with each way claims. 3rd Pick 11 Bondi Prophet Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Robert Agnew J: Non Runner T: Robert Agnew	112	-	-	-	3%	Scratched
Analysis Dual acceptor. Racing well recently. Last start 2nd of 8 at Kempsey Bm50 on April 25 over 6 ¼f, on heavy track, 2.5 len behind Incantress with 133lbs at $3.20. The start before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 0.6 len at Tuncurry Bm50 April 18 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating Grand Voile with 130lbs at $4.80. Improver with each way claims.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.