Heat vs. Pelicans Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Jan. 4

Heat vs. Pelicans Game Info

• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 6 p.m. ET
• Venue: Kaseya Center -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, Pelicans+, and WPLG

The New Orleans Pelicans (8-28) are 9-point underdogs as they look to break a six-game losing streak when they visit the Miami Heat (19-16) on Sunday, January 4, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The matchup airs at 6 p.m. ET on FDSSUN, Gulf Coast Sports, Pelicans+, and WPLG. The over/under in the matchup is set at 245.5.

Heat vs. Pelicans Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Heat vs. Pelicans Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (76.2%)

Heat vs. Pelicans Betting Trends

• The Heat have covered the spread 20 times in 35 games with a set spread.
• The Pelicans are 21-15-0 against the spread this year.
• Heat games have gone over the total 18 times out of 36 chances this season.
• Pelicans games this year have hit the over 21 times in 36 opportunities (58.3%).
• Miami has a worse record against the spread at home (10-8-0) than it does in road games (10-6-1).
• The Heat have gone over the total in a lower percentage of home games (50%) than road games (52.9%).
• New Orleans has performed better against the spread at home (14-8-0) than on the road (7-7-0) this year.
• Pelicans games have finished above the over/under more often at home (14 times out of 22) than on the road (seven of 14) this year.

Heat Leaders

• Kel'el Ware averages 12.3 points, 10.6 boards and 0.5 assists, shooting 55.6% from the field and 44.9% from downtown (seventh in NBA), with 1.3 made treys per contest.
• Norman Powell is averaging 24.1 points, 3.8 boards and 2.7 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s numbers on the season are 16.2 points, 5.3 boards and 4.7 assists per contest, shooting 53.3% from the floor.
• Bam Adebayo is averaging 17.4 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.4 assists.
• Andrew Wiggins is averaging 16.3 points, 4.9 boards and 2.9 assists.

Pelicans Leaders

• Per game, Trey Murphy III provides the Pelicans 20.5 points, 6.1 boards and 3.5 assists. He also averages 1.6 steals (sixth in NBA) and 0.2 blocks.
• Derik Queen's numbers on the season are 13.1 points, 7 boards and 4 assists per game. He is draining 50% of his shots from the field.
• The Pelicans are getting 14.3 points, 3.6 boards and 3.1 assists per game from Jeremiah Fears.
• The Pelicans are getting 23.4 points, 5.9 boards and 3.3 assists per game from Zion Williamson.
• The Pelicans are getting 8.1 points, 2.7 boards and 3.2 assists per game from Jose Alvarado.

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