Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 20

Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Friday, February 20, 2026
• Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Venue: State Farm Arena -- Atlanta, Georgia
• Coverage: FDSSUN, FDSSE, WANF, and Peachtree Sports Network

Southeast Division opponents square off when the Miami Heat (29-27) visit the Atlanta Hawks (27-30) at State Farm Arena, tipping off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 20, 2026. The Hawks are 3.5-point underdogs in the game, the third matchup between the squads this season. The matchup has an over/under set at 243.5 points.

Hawks vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Heat win (59.5%)

Hawks vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Heat have covered the spread 32 times in 56 games with a set spread.
• The Hawks are 27-30-0 against the spread this year.
• This season, 29 of the Heat's games have gone over the point total out of 57 chances.
• Hawks games this season have eclipsed the over/under 29 times in 57 opportunities (50.9%).
• Against the spread, Miami has performed worse when playing at home, covering 14 times in 27 home games, and 18 times in 29 road games.
• Looking at over/unders, the Heat hit the over more often at home, as they've exceeded the total 14 times in 27 opportunities this season (51.9%). On the road, they have hit the over 15 times in 29 opportunities (51.7%).
• In 2025-26 against the spread, Atlanta has a lower winning percentage at home (.360, 9-16-0 record) than on the road (.562, 18-14-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Hawks' games have finished above the over/under at home (44%, 11 of 25) compared to on the road (56.2%, 18 of 32).

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo averages 18.4 points, 9.9 rebounds and 2.8 assists.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.2 points, 5.4 rebounds and 4.7 assists.
• Norman Powell is averaging 23 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Andrew Wiggins is averaging 15.9 points, 5 rebounds and 2.8 assists.
• Kel'el Ware is averaging 11.3 points, 0.6 assists and 9.2 rebounds.

Hawks Leaders

• Jalen Johnson's numbers on the season are 23.5 points, 10.6 boards and 8.1 assists per game. He is also sinking 49.9% of his shots from the floor and 34.6% from 3-point range, with an average of 1.6 triples.
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker's numbers on the season are 20 points, 3.6 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game. He is making 43.2% of his shots from the field and 37.1% from beyond the arc, with an average of 3 treys.
• Dyson Daniels' numbers on the season are 11.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game. He is sinking 50% of his shots from the floor.
• Onyeka Okongwu's numbers on the season are 16.1 points, 7.7 boards and 3.2 assists per contest. He is draining 48.3% of his shots from the floor and 37.5% from 3-point range, with an average of 2 triples.
• Per game, CJ McCollum gets the Hawks 18.8 points, 3.4 boards and 3.6 assists, plus 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocks.

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