Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Dec. 26

Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

• Date: Friday, December 26, 2025
• Time: 7 p.m. ET
• Venue: State Farm Arena -- Atlanta, Georgia
• Coverage: FDSSUN, FDSSE, WANF, and Peachtree Sports Network

The Atlanta Hawks (15-16) will try to stop a four-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (15-15) at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, December 26, 2025 as 4-point favorites. The Heat have lost three games in a row. The point total in the matchup is 245.5.

Hawks vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

All NBA win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Hawks win (51.1%)

Hawks vs. Heat Betting Trends

• The Hawks are 14-17-0 against the spread this season.
• The Heat have 16 wins against the spread in 30 games this season.
• This season, 18 of the Hawks' games have gone over the point total out of 30 chances.
• Heat games this season have gone over the total in 15 of 30 opportunities (50%).
• At home, Atlanta sports a worse record against the spread (4-10-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (10-7-0).
• The Hawks have exceeded the over/under less often when playing at home, hitting the over in seven of 14 home matchups (50%). In away games, they have hit the over in 11 of 17 games (64.7%).
• Miami's winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .533. It is 8-7-0 ATS on its home court and 8-6-1 on the road.
• Heat games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (six times out of 15) than away (nine of 15) this year.

Hawks Leaders

• Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.8 points, 8.3 assists and 10.5 boards.
• Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 15.7 points, 3.2 assists and 7.4 boards.
• Dyson Daniels is averaging 11.5 points, 5.7 assists and 6.4 boards.
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 3.3 assists. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• Zaccharie Risacher is averaging 11.1 points, 3 boards and 1.6 assists. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

Heat Leaders

• Per game, Kel'el Ware provides the Heat 12.2 points, 10.7 rebounds and 0.6 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 1.3 blocks.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s numbers on the season are 15.9 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4.7 assists per contest. He is draining 51.8% of his shots from the floor.
• Per game, Norman Powell gets the Heat 23.7 points, 3.9 boards and 2.6 assists, plus 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Bam Adebayo averages 18 points, 9.5 rebounds and 2.4 assists. He is making 46.6% of his shots from the field and 31.4% from 3-point range, with 1.4 triples per contest.
• The Heat receive 15.8 points per game from Andrew Wiggins, plus 4.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists.

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