Gonzaga vs Saint Mary's (CA) College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for Feb. 28

Two streaking teams hit the court when the Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-2, 16-1 WCC) visit the Saint Mary's Gaels (26-4, 15-2 WCC) on February 28, 2026. The Bulldogs will put their six-game win streak on the line against the Gaels, winners of seven straight.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, February 28, 2026
• Game time: 10:30 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Moraga, California
• Arena: University Credit Union Pavilion

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Saint Mary's (CA) win (65.1%)

Take a look at some betting trends for Gonzaga (-1.5) versus Saint Mary's (CA) on Saturday. The total is set at 142.5 points for this game.

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Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA): ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Gonzaga has won 18 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 12 times.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has compiled a 16-12-0 record against the spread this year.
• When the spread is set as 1.5 or more this season, Gonzaga (18-12) covers a higher percentage of those games when it is the favorite (60%) than Saint Mary's (CA) (1-2) does as the underdog (33.3%).
• When playing at home, the Bulldogs sport a worse record against the spread (7-7-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (6-3-0).
• This season, the Gaels are 10-4-0 at home against the spread (.714 winning percentage). Away, they are 5-5-0 ATS (.500).
• Gonzaga's record against the spread in conference action is 9-8-0.
• Against the spread in WCC games, Saint Mary's (CA) is 11-6-0 this year.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA): Moneyline Betting Stats

• Gonzaga has come away with 23 wins in the 25 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This season, the Bulldogs have been victorious 23 times in 25 chances when named as a favorite of at least -142 or shorter on the moneyline.
• Saint Mary's (CA) has yet to win a game it played as the moneyline underdog this season, going 0-0.
• The Gaels have played as a moneyline underdog of +118 or longer in just two games this season, which they lost both.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Gonzaga has a 58.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Head-to-Head Comparison

• Gonzaga was the second-best team in college basketball in points scored (86.4 per game) and 107th in points conceded (69.9) last season.
• Last season, Gonzaga was 47th in college basketball in rebounds (34.6 per game) and 47th in rebounds allowed (28.9).
• At 19.7 assists per game, Gonzaga was best in college basketball last season.
• Gonzaga was the 25th-best team in the country in turnovers per game (9.3) and 140th in turnovers forced (11.7) last year.
• Saint Mary's (CA) scored 72.9 points per game last season (205th-ranked in college basketball), but it really played well on defense, giving up only 61.1 points per contest (fifth-best).
• Saint Mary's (CA) played well in terms of rebounding, as it ranked 15th-best in college basketball in rebounds (36.3 per game) and fourth-best in rebounds allowed (26.1 per contest).
• Saint Mary's (CA) ranked 74th in the nation with 15.1 assists per contest.
• Saint Mary's (CA) ranked 12th-best in college basketball by averaging only 9.1 turnovers per game. In terms of forced turnovers, it ranked 288th in college basketball (10.2 per contest).

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