Florida vs Vanderbilt College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The top-seeded Florida Gators (26-6, 16-2 SEC) are taking on the No. 4 seed Vanderbilt Commodores (25-7, 11-7 SEC) in the SEC tournament on Saturday at Bridgestone Arena, at 1 p.m. ET airing on ESPN.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Saturday, March 14, 2026
• Game time: 1 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Florida win (67.9%)

Florida is a 7.5-point favorite over Vanderbilt on Saturday and the total is set at 160.5 points. Below are a few betting trends and insights before you place a wager on the contest.

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Florida vs. Vanderbilt: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Florida has compiled a 19-13-0 record against the spread this season.
• Vanderbilt has covered 17 times in 32 games with a spread this season.
• When playing at home, the Gators sport a worse record against the spread (7-8-0) compared to their ATS record in road games (9-1-0).
• The Commodores have the same winning percentage against the spread (.500) at home (8-8-0 record) and on the road (6-6-0) this year.
• Against the spread, in conference play, Florida is 14-5-0 this year.
• Vanderbilt is 9-10-0 against the spread in SEC play this year.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Florida has been chosen as the moneyline favorite in 26 games this year and has walked away with the win 22 times (84.6%) in those games.
• The Gators have a mark of 17-2 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -375 or better on the moneyline.
• Vanderbilt has won three of the six games it was the underdog on the moneyline this season (50%).
• The Commodores have yet to play a game with moneyline odds of +290 or longer.
• Florida has an implied victory probability of 78.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Florida vs. Vanderbilt Head-to-Head Comparison

• Florida is outscoring opponents by 15.8 points per game with a +505 scoring differential overall. It puts up 87.2 points per game (12th in college basketball) and gives up 71.4 per contest (111th in college basketball).
• Thomas Haugh's 17 points per game lead Florida and are 156th in the country.
• Vanderbilt's +373 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 11.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 86.6 points per game (13th in college basketball) while giving up 74.9 per contest (213th in college basketball).
• Tyler's 19.2 points per game paces Vanderbilt and ranks 51st in the country.
• The Gators are first in the country at 42.4 rebounds per game. That's 15.2 more than the 27.2 their opponents average.
• Rueben Chinyelu leads the Gators with 11.7 rebounds per game (second in college basketball play).
• The 32.6 rebounds per game the Commodores accumulate rank 136th in the nation, 1.3 more than the 31.3 their opponents collect.
• Devin tops the Commodores with 6.8 rebounds per game (181st in college basketball).
• Florida ranks 37th in college basketball with 104.8 points scored per 100 possessions, and 13th in college basketball defensively with 85.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• The Commodores rank 16th in college basketball averaging 107.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 128th, allowing 93.4 points per 100 possessions.

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