FanDuel MLB DFS Picks and Helper: Sunday 7/14/24

Our daily fantasy helper is available every day to analyze FanDuel's main slate and give you a starting point when you're building lineups.

Be sure to incorporate our MLB DFS projections -- which are powered by numberFire -- into your research process. numberFire also has the latest starting lineups and weather as well as heat maps to help you find the best matchups.

Let's check out the top options on today's main slate.

Note: All MLB odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

MLB DFS Picks

Pitcher Breakdown

Mitch Keller ($10,400) is the only pitcher with a salary over $10,000 on the main slate. He isn't necessarily stellar in one particular stat this season and is pretty average for the main slate across the board, yet he now gets to inject that into a matchup with the Chicago White Sox, whose wRC+ against RHP the last 30 days is only 77. They're also top-10 in the split in K% (23.6%).

Nick Lodolo ($9,900) gets a fantastic matchup against the Miami Marlins. The lefty enters with a 3.57 SIERA and a 3.45 xERA, both main-slate bests. He's also the main slate leader in called-strike-plus-whiff rate (CSW%). That all grades out in any matchup -- but especially against Miami. The Marlins are owners of a 66 wRC+ the last 30 days and a 28.5% strikeout rate against lefties. It's hard to get a much better on-paper matchup than this one for Lodolo.

Jose Quintana ($8,700) also projects out well on a slate without a lot of high-salaried options at the pitcher position. He faces a Colorado Rockies team with a 79 wRC+ the last 30 days vs. LHP (and 86 on the full season).

Miles Mikolas ($7,900) rates out as a strikeout regression candidate. His CSW% suggests a K% of around 21.0%, up from his actual mark of 17.0%. The Chicago Cubs are sixth in K% against RHP.

Stacks to Target

Without much salary to use at pitcher, higher-salaried stacks are in play today.

• Philadelphia Phillies (5.93 implied total) -- Easily the highest implied total of the day in a matchup with righty Joey Estes and his 4.87 SIERA.
• Los Angeles Dodgers (5.26) -- Top of order is spendy with Shohei Ohtani but also ways to save here; getting Beau Brieske and a bullpen game.
• Cincinnati Reds (5.06) -- 102 wRC+ last 30 days vs. LHP; Trevor Rogers is allowing walks and hard contact for a 4.97 xERA.
• Pittsburgh Pirates (4.89) -- Nice value stack option as a secondary team; lefty Jared Shuster letting up fly balls and has a 5.19 xFIP.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.