Soccer

Euro 2024 Turkey vs. Portugal: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Turkey vs. Portugal: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is underway, and the tournament is starting to take shape. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for each game.

On Saturday, July, 22nd, Portugal (6th in the FIFA rankings) take on Turkey (42nd).

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Turkey vs. Portugal: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Turkey vs. Portugal Odds

  • Turkey to Win: +470
  • Portugal to Win: -175
  • Draw: +320
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -136
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: +112

Turkey vs. Portugal Analysis

Both of these sides won their opening matches and did so in style, with expected goals (xG) numbers, per FBRef's model, backing up the results.

Portugal -- one of the tourney favorites, listed at +600 odds to win Euro 2024, the fifth-shortest odds -- came from behind to beat the Czech Republic by a 2-1 score. But going by xG, the Portuguese dominated, totaling 1.9 xG while giving up just 0.4 xG.

Turkey notched a 3-1 win over Georgia in an entertaining affair. The xG numbers were right in line, with Turkey prevailing 3.0-1.4 on xG.

Portugal demolished their group in qualifying, winning all eight matches, and they boast a squad as deep as any roster in this competition.

Turkey won their qualifying group, as well, suffering just one defeat (Croatia). The 3.0 xG they racked up against Georgia was a single-game high through the first round of group-stage matches.

Turkey vs. Portugal Prediction

Opta's model gives Portugal a 62.0% chance to win. A draw comes in at 20.3% odds while a Turkey win is just 17.8% likely.

MasseyRatings also favors Portugal but isn't quite as lopsided, putting Portugal's win odds at 57%.

The Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook may be slightly overvaluing Portugal at a -175 moneyline, which implies win odds of 63.6%.

For a more thorough breakdown of Saturday's matches, check out Zack Bussiere's Euro 2024 betting picks.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.