NFL Touchdown Predictions: 3 Best NFL Touchdown Bets for Week 4

Week 4 NFL Touchdown Picks at a Glance

• Brenton Strange, Jaguars (+260)
• Aaron Jones, Vikings (-165)
• Jameson Williams, Lions (+200)

Touchdowns are one of the more entertaining plays in sports, and every week brings plenty of opportunities to bet touchdowns in the NFL. Whether it is a star running back getting the bulk of the goal-line work or a wide receiver in a favorable matchup, player usage and matchup data can help identify appealing bets.

Here are our favorite NFL TD bets for this week. We’ll break down the matchup, expected role and other key factors behind each pick to help identify the best anytime touchdown scorer bets available at FanDuel Sportsbook’s NFL odds.

All NFL odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Best NFL Touchdown Picks Week 4

Brenton Strange to Score a TD (+260)

Jaguars vs. Bengals (1 p.m. ET)

Brenton Strange draws a superb matchup this week against the Cincinnati Bengals.

Cincy has been getting rocked by tight ends, with the Bengals allowing the fourth-most catches and second-most yards to the position.

There’s also gobs of shootout potential in this game as we’ve got a high total (51.5) and tight spread (2.5), which could lead to a back-and-forth affair where both offenses keep their foot on the gas.

Strange has seen just 10 total targets through three games, operating behind the Jacksonville Jaguars‘ top-notch WR group. He’s made the most of those looks, though, racking up seven catches for 72 yards and a TD. He’s also played 77% and 83% of the snaps the last two games.

In a high-scoring game environment against a defense that hasn’t been able to contain TEs, Strange can touch paint on Sunday.

Aaron Jones to Score a TD (-165)

Dolphins vs. Vikings (4:05 p.m. ET)

Aaron Jones checks a lot of boxes.

The Minnesota Vikings are short-handed on offense, missing Jordan Mason and also likely to be without Justin Jefferson, who hasn’t practiced yet this week as of Friday morning. That should funnel more volume Jones’ way. Sans Mason the last two weeks, Jones has played 80% and 81% of the snaps while handling a combined 40 carries and six targets.

Yes, please.

The matchup is an elite one as the Miami Dolphins have given up the fifth-most yards per play on defense and have already permitted three rushing touchdowns. Plus, the Vikings are 10.5-point favorites, which should lead to a run-heavy script.

These odds are steep, but the stage is set for Jones to have a field day.

Jameson Williams to Score a TD (+200)

Lions vs. Panthers (8:20 p.m. ET)

Jameson Williams is a boom-or-bust player. He can boom this week.

The Detroit Lions‘ offense is in a fantastic spot on Sunday night as they’ll see a Carolina Panthers defense that will be without both of its starting corners. Giddy up.

Williams has only 10 catches for 127 yards through three weeks. That’s somewhat a byproduct of how the Lions use him. However, he’s actually played the most snaps among Detroit’s receivers, and he’s been targeted 17 times.

Williams is due for a big game, and with the Lions listed at -111 odds to go over 27.5 points, this is a good spot for him to break out.

NFL Touchdown Picks FAQ

What are NFL touchdown bets?

NFL touchdown bets are wagers on whether a player will score a touchdown during a game. The most common market is an anytime touchdown scorer bet, which wins if the selected player scores at least one touchdown.

How do you choose the best NFL touchdown bets?

The best touchdown bets can depend on a player's expected workload, red-zone usage, matchup and projected scoring opportunities. Running backs and wide receivers who receive consistent opportunities near the goal line can be particularly appealing.

What is an anytime touchdown scorer bet?

An anytime touchdown scorer bet is a wager on whether a specific player will score at least one touchdown during a game. The player can score on a rushing attempt, reception or, in some cases, another type of play depending on the sportsbook's rules.

Where can I bet on NFL touchdown scorers?

The NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook offer NFL touchdown scorer markets for games throughout the season, including anytime touchdown scorer bets and other player touchdown markets.

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Which bets stand out to you this week? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's latest NFL odds to see the full menu of options. You can also check out our How to Bet on the NFL guide.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.