Soccer

Euro 2024 England vs. Slovenia: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 England vs. Slovenia: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is underway, and we are on to the final group-stage matches. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for each game.

On Tuesday, June 25th, England (5th in the FIFA rankings) go up against Slovenia (57th).

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 England vs. Slovenia: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

England vs. Slovenia Odds

  • England to Win: -310
  • Slovenia to Win: +950
  • Draw: +400
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -110
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: -110

England vs. Slovenia Analysis

England have totaled four points through two games. While the results have been solid enough, the performances have been underwhelming, especially given the amount of attacking talent on England's roster.

The expected goals (xG) data, per FBRef's model, isn't pretty. England have amassed just 1.4 combined xG through two games, although they've allowed only 1.0 xG. They're likely pretty fortunate to have four points instead of two.

Slovenia are one of the lesser sides in the tourney, but they've earned two points thus far, drawing with both Denmark and Serbia. In total, they've accumulated 2.5 xG but have permitted 3.3 xG.

England vs. Slovenia Prediction

England are due for a big performance, and it may come on Tuesday.

Opta's model gives the Three Lions 75.5% win odds.

MasseyRatings is more conservative, projecting England's win odds at 56%.

The Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook are right in line with Opta's model. England's -310 moneyline odds imply win odds of 75.6%.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.