Soccer

Euro 2024 Belgium vs. Ukraine: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Austan Kas
Austan Kas@AustanKas
Euro 2024 Belgium vs. Ukraine: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Euro 2024 is underway, and the tournament is into the final round of group-stage matches. FanDuel Sportsbook is offering Euro 2024 odds for each game.

On Wednesday, June 26th, Belgium (3rd in the FIFA rankings) will take on Ukraine (24th).

What should we expect from this matchup?

All Euro 2024 odds come from FanDuel Sportsbook and may change after this article is published.

Euro 2024 Belgium vs. Ukraine: Picks, Predictions, and Odds

Belgium vs. Ukraine Odds

  • Belgium to Win: -150
  • Ukraine to Win: +410
  • Draw: +300
  • Over 2.5 Goal Odds: -128
  • Under 2.5 Goal Odds: +106

Belgium vs. Ukraine Analysis

Belgium suffered a surprising 1-0 loss to Slovakia in its opening match but bounced back with a 2-0 win over Romania last time out.

Despite the loss, the expected goals (xG) data -- per FBRef's xG model -- looks really good for Belgium as they've amassed 3.4 xG and given up 1.5 xG. They were particularly unlucky in the defeat to Slovakia as the Belgians won the xG battle in that one 1.6-0.6.

Ukraine's story through two matches is similar to Belgium's. Ukraine lost 3-0 to Romania in its first match, but they were hard done by as the xG tally was just 1.1-0.7 in favor of Romania.

In their second fixture, Ukraine responded with a 2-1 win over Slovakia, netting two second-half goals to come back from a goal down. The win was fully deserved as Ukraine won on xG 1.5-0.8.

Belgium vs. Ukraine Prediction

Opta's model hands Belgium win odds of 54.4% while projecting a draw (23.6%) and a Ukraine win (22.0%) as nearly equally likely.

MasseyRatings are slightly lower on Belgium but still favor them, putting the Belgians' win odds at 50% and Ukraine's at 23%.

According to those models, the Euro 2024 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook are a little too high on Belgium. Belgium's -150 moneyline implies win odds of 60%.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.