NCAAB

Duke vs North Carolina Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - March 9

Data Skrive
Data Skrive
Duke vs North Carolina Basketball Prediction, Best Bets, Spread & Odds - March 9

The Duke Blue Devils (24-6, 15-4 ACC) bring a three-game winning streak into a home matchup with the North Carolina Tar Heels (24-6, 16-3 ACC), who have won five straight.

Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Duke vs. North Carolina Game Info and Odds

  • Game Day: Saturday, March 9, 2024
  • Game Time: 6:30 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN
  • Location: Durham, North Carolina
  • Arena: Cameron Indoor Stadium

Duke vs. North Carolina Picks and Prediction

All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (66.9%)

Take a look at some betting insights for Duke (-4.5) versus North Carolina on Saturday. The over/under has been set at 150.5 points for this game.

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Duke vs. North Carolina: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

  • Duke has compiled an 18-12-0 record against the spread this season.
  • North Carolina has put together a 17-13-0 ATS record so far this season.
  • Duke covers the spread when it is a 4.5-point favorite or more 61.5% of the time. That's more often than North Carolina covers as an underdog of 4.5 or more (never covered this season).
  • The Blue Devils have done a better job covering the spread at home (11-6-0) than they have in road tilts (5-6-0).
  • The Tar Heels have performed better against the spread away (6-3-0) than at home (8-7-0) this year.
  • Duke's record against the spread in conference games is 11-8-0.
  • North Carolina's ACC record against the spread is 11-8-0.

Duke vs. North Carolina: Moneyline Betting Stats

  • Duke has come away with 21 wins in the 25 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
  • The Blue Devils have a mark of 19-3 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by -220 or better on the moneyline.
  • North Carolina has gone 3-2 in games it was the underdog on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).
  • The Tar Heels have a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +180 or longer.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies Duke has a 68.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Duke vs. North Carolina Head-to-Head Comparison

  • Duke averages 80.2 points per game (42nd in college basketball) while giving up 66.7 per contest (44th in college basketball). It has a +407 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 13.5 points per game.
  • Kyle Filipowski's team-leading 16.5 points per game ranks 155th in the nation.
  • North Carolina puts up 81.5 points per game (24th in college basketball) while allowing 69.8 per contest (115th in college basketball). It has a +353 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 11.7 points per game.
  • RJ Davis' team-leading 21.5 points per game rank him ninth in college basketball.
  • The 36.6 rebounds per game the Blue Devils average rank 117th in the country, and are 5.4 more than the 31.2 their opponents grab per outing.
  • Filipowski tops the team with eight rebounds per game (91st in college basketball play).
  • The Tar Heels are ninth in college basketball at 41 rebounds per game. That's 6.6 more than the 34.4 their opponents average.
  • Armando Bacot averages 10.2 rebounds per game (14th in college basketball) to lead the Tar Heels.
  • Duke scores 106.2 points per 100 possessions (11th in college basketball), while allowing 88.3 points per 100 possessions (59th in college basketball).
  • The Tar Heels rank 43rd in college basketball with 101.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 36th defensively with 86.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.

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