Duke vs NC State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for March 2

The Duke Blue Devils (27-2, 15-1 ACC) will attempt to build on a six-game win streak when they visit the NC State Wolfpack (19-10, 10-6 ACC) on March 2, 2026 at Lenovo Center.
Before you place your bet on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.
Duke vs. NC State Game Info and Odds
- Game day: Monday, March 2, 2026
- Game time: 7 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
- Arena: Lenovo Center
Duke vs. NC State Picks and Prediction
All college basketball win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Duke win (67.4%)
Before making a wager on Monday's Duke-NC State spread (Duke -9.5) or over/under (148.5 points), see the betting trends and insights below.
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Duke vs. NC State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends
- Duke has covered 16 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
- NC State has covered 14 times in 29 chances against the spread this season.
- Against the spread, the Blue Devils have performed worse at home, covering six times in 14 home games, and seven times in 10 road games.
- The Wolfpack's winning percentage against the spread at home is .533 (8-7-0). On the road, it is .400 (4-6-0).
- Against the spread, in conference games, Duke is 9-7-0 this season.
- NC State's ACC record against the spread is 7-9-0.
Duke vs. NC State: Moneyline Betting Stats
- Duke has come away with 20 wins in the 22 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
- The Blue Devils have been a -599 moneyline favorite on 16 occasions this season and won every game.
- NC State has won one of the four games it was the moneyline underdog this season (25%).
- The Wolfpack have never played a game this season with moneyline odds of +430 or longer.
- Duke has an implied victory probability of 85.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Duke vs. NC State Head-to-Head Comparison
- Duke was the 11th-best team in the nation in points scored (83.2 per game) and seventh-best in points allowed (62.8) last year.
- Last year, Duke was 24th-best in the country in rebounds (35.6 per game) and 12th-best in rebounds conceded (27.3).
- Duke was 17th-best in college basketball in assists (16.9 per game) last season.
- Duke was the ninth-best squad in the nation in turnovers per game (8.9) and 265th in turnovers forced (10.4) last season.
- With 69.6 points per game on offense, NC State was 294th in college basketball last season. At the other end of the court, it gave up 70.4 points per contest, which ranked 126th in college basketball.
- NC State grabbed 29.6 boards per game (316th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 32.9 rebounds per contest (287th-ranked).
- NC State ranked 260th in the nation with 12.5 dimes per contest.
- NC State ranked 12th-best in college basketball by committing just 9.1 turnovers per game. In terms of forced turnovers, it ranked 153rd in college basketball (11.5 per contest).
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