NHL

Conn Smythe Trophy Odds: Connor McDavid Leads the Way Ahead of the Stanley Cup Final

Scott Edwards Jr.
Scott Edwards Jr.@ScottEdwardsJr
Conn Smythe Trophy Odds: Connor McDavid Leads the Way Ahead of the Stanley Cup Final

After a grueling three rounds, the Stanley Cup Final is officially set, and it all starts on Saturday night.

The Edmonton Oilers secured their ticket to the Stanley Cup Final last night after defeating the Dallas Stars in Game 6. One night prior, the Florida Panthers locked in their spot by taking down the President's Trophy-winning New York Rangers.

It's a star-studded Stanley Cup Final. But which player will stand above the rest and call themselves the Conn Smythe Trophy winner when the final is complete? That race will be just as exciting as the series itself. The playoff MVP will be crowned, and we have plenty of quality options to pick from. It'll surely take a strong final to secure the honor.

Let's take a look at the Conn Smythe Trophy odds via the NHL odds on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Conn Smythe Trophy Odds

Player
Conn Smythe Trophy Odds
Connor McDavid+250
Sergei Bobrovsky+400
Aleksander Barkov+400
Matthew Tkachuk+600
Leon Draisaitl+650
Evan Bouchard+700
Carter Verhaeghe+2400
View Full Table

Connor McDavid (+250)

The best hockey player in the world will get this first chance to participate in a Stanley Cup Final.

It shouldn't come as a surprise, but Connor McDavid is the favorite to take home the Conn Smythe Trophy. After McDavid's incredible Game 6 performance to help the Oilers advance, a showing that featured a highlight-reel goal and an assist on the game-winning goal, it's hard to not expect more heroics from him when it matters most.

So far through the playoffs, McDavid leads all skaters in points -- not a huge surprise. The Oilers' captain has 31 points in 18 games. Those points are broken up to 5 goals and a playoff-leading 26 assists. He's averaging 1.72 points per game and will now need to keep that up on the biggest stage.

What may hold McDavid back from winning this year's Conn Smythe -- besides losing in the final -- could be his lack of goalscoring. That has notably been a trend for him all season after winning the Rocket Richard Trophy in the 2022-23 regular season.

During the regular season, McDavid netted just 32 goals. That's a respectable total, but it's apparent that his goalscoring isn't where it once was. With that said, he's still the best player in the league and a two-time Hart Trophy winner. If he keeps setting up his teammates to score and the Oilers win it all, why doubt him?

It's McDavid's first chance at winning the Stanley Cup. We can expect him to perform once again, like he has throughout the playoffs. He will need to be the best player on the ice for the Oilers to take home the Cup.

Sergei Bobrovsky (+400)

Sergei Bobrovsky has done almost everything a goalie can do in his NHL career -- except win the Stanley Cup and take home the Conn Smythe Trophy. Getting the chance to return to the Stanley Cup Final for a second straight season gives him a shot to do both.

Bobrovsky has the edge between goaltenders heading into the Final. He has made every start for the Panthers in the playoffs, playing in 17 games and going 12-5 in those contests. He's limited opponents, posting a 2.20 goals against average (GAA). The save percentage of .908 doesn't necessarily jump off the page, but it's done the job in pushing Florida to the Final. He's also saved 7.70 goals above expectation (GSAx), a clear advantage when compared to Stuart Skinner, who sits at 1.70.

Limiting the Oilers will be his toughest task of the playoffs, and it's why he is tied for the second-best odds. Through the first three rounds, the Oilers rank second with 3.41 goals for per 60 minutes (GF/60) and fifth overall with 3.08 expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60). Bobrovsky will need to keep them at bay to take home the Stanley Cup.

If he does that consistently throughout the series, there's no reason to believe that Bobrovsky can't follow Andrei Vasilevskiy's path from 2021 and take home the Conn Smythe Trophy.

Aleksander Barkov (+400)

He may not be the big-time scorer like McDavid or Leon Draisaitl is, but Aleksander Barkov has been as good as anyone throughout these playoffs.

The Panthers' captain has been consistent end-to-end for Florida, consistently showing his prowess on both sides of the puck. Offensively, Barkov is averaging exactly a point per game with 17 points in 17 games. Those 17 points have come off 11 assists and 6 goals -- 3 of which have been game-winners. He's delivering in the clutch, and there's no forward on the defensive end who matches Barkov.

When Florida has their way, Barkov is more often than not playing against the top line of the opposition -- set to help shut down their top player. As the reigning Selke Trophy winner as the league's top defensive forward, he will be tasked with helping bottle up the McDavid-Draisaitl duo.

Per Money Puck, Barkov leads the playoffs with 22 takeaways. Living up to expectations is all he's done in the playoffs, and if he can lead the Panthers to their first Stanley Cup, the Conn Smythe Trophy very well could be his when it's over.

Matthew Tkachuk (+600)

Matthew Tkachuk pushed the Panthers to the Stanley Cup Final a season ago. He hasn't had to carry the team nearly as much this time around, but he remains the one who sets the tone for them.

Tkachuk leads the Panthers in points with 19 points in 17 games. He has scored 5 goals and added 14 assists. Without question, Tkachuk is as vital as any player in this series -- after all, when he went down with injury in the Final last year, it marked the end of the Panthers.

When it comes to setting the tone, the forward gets into the heads of his opponents. The physicality that Tkachuk brings makes him the top power forward in the NHL. Mixing that against the speed of the Oilers should make this series all the more interesting.

Expect Tkachuk to make a number of big plays if this team is going to win their first Cup in history. With Tkachuk at +600 odds, there may not be a better player to consider in the market.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.