NCAAB

College Basketball Betting Picks for Tuesday 2/27/24

Riley Thomas
Riley Thomas_riley8
College Basketball Betting Picks for Tuesday 2/27/24

The college basketball season always provides a flurry of twists and turns that few saw coming -- especially when March Madness comes around. This can make college basketball one of the most challenging sports to bet on.

Fortunately, we have plenty of tools available that can aid our chances of taking the most favorable college basketball bets. Bart Torvik and KenPom are excellent sources that give insights into team-level efficiency, and Sports Reference provides a wide range of useful team stats, as well.

Let's check out FanDuel Sportsbook's college basketball odds and select some of the best bets of the day by utilizing the mentioned tools.

Please note lines are subject to change throughout the day after this article is published.

College Basketball Best Bets

Pittsburgh Panthers at Clemson Tigers

Pittsburgh +6.5 (-102)

According to Bart Torvik's bracketology, the Pittsburgh Panthers are one of first four teams out for the NCAA Tournament. Pittsburgh has the chance to grab a statement win on Tuesday against a quad one opponent in Clemson, who ranks 24th in KenPom's ratings. Both teams have excelled against the spread (ATS) over the last 10 games with Pittsburgh going 8-2 and Clemson sitting at 7-3. Which team will stay hot in tonight's ACC clash?

While the Tigers have the 18th-best mark in adjusted offensive efficiency, they rank outside the top 130 in field goals attempted per game. Clemson's unit is essentially carried by their efficiency as they rank in the 82nd percentile in two-point and three-point percentages. However, the Panthers are in the 95th percentile with opponents shooting only 29.8% from three. Pittsburgh is also in the 80th percentile in two-point shots allowed per contest, and the Tigers are in the bottom 38% in two-point shots each game.

The Panthers seem to have the tools to slow Clemson's efficiency, and Pittsburgh's sharpshooters are licking their chops with a favorable matchup against the Tigers' perimeter defense. Opponents get little pushback when it comes to shooting the three with Clemson sitting in the bottom 24% in three-point shots and makes allowed per game. The Tigers are in the bottom 24% in another category, as well, with opponents taking 40.0% of their shots from three.

I believe the Panthers have enough to come up with a cover on the road. The defense matches up quite well, and Pittsburgh's shooters are poised for solid games as the team has shot at least 40.0% from three in three of the last four games.

No. 16 Kentucky Wildcats at Mississippi Bulldogs

Over 155.5 (-115)

Mississippi State is rolling ahead of their collision with Kentucky on Tuesday. The Bulldogs have won five consecutive games -- the best ongoing streak in the SEC. However, MSU has been dominated by the Wildcats since coach John Calipari took over in 2009. Kentucky is 18-1 under Calipari when facing the Bulldogs, and the Cats are 7-3 ATS over the last 10 head-to-head matchups.

However, making a call on the spread or moneyline could be too difficult. While UK certainly has the leg up when it comes to previous matchups, I cannot overlook the Wildcats' absurd inconsistencies throughout the season.

Instead of endlessly debating on the spread of moneyline, I'm backing the over. This seems like a somewhat safe bet with the Wildcats boasting the eighth-best adjusted offensive efficiency while coming off of a ridiculous 117-point eruption against Alabama. Mississippi State has shot 47.8% from the field (45.1% on the season) over their last four games while also converting 38.7% of their threes (32.2% on the season).

There's little reason to believe that UK will slow the Bulldogs' offense. The Cats rank 79th in adjusted defensive efficiency, and due to their quick pace, Kentucky still ranks in the bottom 11% in PPG allowed. Opponents have averaged 79.1 PPG over UK's last 10 games -- even higher than their season average of 77.9 PPG.

The support for the over just keeps coming as MSU sits in the bottom 25% of three-point shots allowed per game. The Wildcats feature one of the nation's most lethal three-point attacks with 9.7 makes per game (95th percentile) while shooting 41.0% from deep -- the top mark in college basketball.

Texas Longhorns at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Under 145.5 (-110)

With the total set at 145.5, the over feels like a very reasonable bet for Texas against Texas Tech. The Longhorns rank 28th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 53rd in adjusted defensive efficiency while the Red Raiders rank 19th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 75th in adjusted defensive efficiency. This points most to a high-scoring game, but I'm backing the under -- which is in line with numberFire's daily game projections.

Neither offense gets a ton of shots up as they are both in the bottom half in field goals attempted per game. Texas Tech heavily relies on three-pointers; they are in the bottom 17% in two-point shots per game and in the 80th percentile in made threes per contest and three-point percentage. However, Texas has an excellent perimeter defense that allows only 18.3 three-point shots per game (91st percentile). The Longhorns have only improved in this category over their last five games with opponents averaging 16.0 three-point shots each contest.

The Red Raiders' offense is clearly in trouble, and the same can be said for Texas' unit. Texas Tech is in the bottom 38% in three-point shots allowed per game on the season. However, they have given up only 17.0 three-point looks per game over the last three (season average is 22.5). This could be a blow to the Longhorns, who are in the 88th percentile of three-point percentage.

Additionally, Texas has totaled under 70 points in four of the last five contests. Due to the Longhorns' recent scoring struggles and their perimeter defense, give me the under.


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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.