Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALDS Game 1 on Oct. 4

Odds updated as of 3:12 p.m.

On Saturday in the MLB, the Toronto Blue Jays are up against the New York Yankees for Game 1 of the ALDS.

We've got you covered, in terms of the most important info about this game before you take a look at the MLB odds and spreads on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) vs. New York Yankees (94-68)
• Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
• Time: 4:08 p.m. ET
• Venue: Rogers Centre -- Toronto, Ontario
• Coverage: FOX

Blue Jays vs Yankees Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TOR: (-124) | NYY: (+106)
• Spread: TOR: -1.5 (+164) | NYY: +1.5 (-200)
• Total: 8 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays) - 10-11, 3.59 ERA vs Luis Gil (Yankees) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA

The Blue Jays will give the nod to Kevin Gausman (10-11, 3.59 ERA) versus the Yankees and Luis Gil. When Gausman starts, his team is 15-17-0 against the spread this season. Gausman's team has been victorious in 41.2% of the games he's started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 7-10. Gil's team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Blue Jays win (51.1%)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Moneyline

• New York is a +106 underdog on the moneyline, while Toronto is a -124 favorite at home.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Spread

• The Blue Jays are hosting the Yankees and are favored by 1.5 runs (+164 to cover) on the runline. New York is -200 to cover.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under

• The Blue Jays-Yankees contest on Oct. 4 has been given an over/under of 8 runs. The over is set at -115 and the under at -105.

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Blue Jays vs Yankees Betting Trends

• The Blue Jays have been chosen as favorites in 83 games this year and have walked away with the win 49 times (59%) in those games.
• Toronto has a record of 46-26 in contests when bookmakers favor them by -124 or more on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 86 of their 161 opportunities.
• In 161 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 92-69-0 against the spread.
• The Yankees are 7-13 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35% of those games).
• When it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +106 or longer, New York has gone 4-6 (40%).
• The Yankees have combined with opponents to go over the total 76 times this season for a 76-81-6 record against the over/under.
• The Yankees are 77-86-0 ATS this season.

Blue Jays Player Leaders

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .292 with 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks. He has an on-base percentage of .381 and a slugging percentage of .467.
• Among qualifying batters in MLB, his batting average ranks 12th, his on-base percentage ranks sixth, and he is 41st in slugging.
• George Springer has 153 hits and an OBP of .397, both of which lead the Blue Jays this season. He's batting .307 and slugging .556.
• Among qualifying hitters, he ranks fourth in batting average, second in on-base percentage and fifth in slugging percentage.
• Springer has picked up at least one hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, two home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Ernie Clement has collected 151 base hits, an OBP of .313 and a slugging percentage of .398 this season.
• Clement enters this matchup with three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with two doubles, a walk and three RBIs.
• Alejandro Kirk has been key for Toronto with 127 hits, an OBP of .348 plus a slugging percentage of .421.
• Kirk enters this matchup on a two-game hitting streak. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, three home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge has racked up a team-best OBP (.457) and slugging percentage (.688), and leads the Yankees in hits (179, while batting .331).
• He is first in batting average, first in on-base percentage and first in slugging percentage among all qualified hitters in the big leagues.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .272 with 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks. He's slugging .480 with an on-base percentage of .334.
• His batting average ranks 36th among all qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 61st, and he is 29th in slugging.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .235 with nine doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 82 walks.
• Ben Rice is hitting .255 with 28 doubles, four triples, 26 home runs and 50 walks.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Head to Head

• 9/7/2025: 4-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
• 9/6/2025: 3-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/5/2025: 7-1 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/23/2025: 8-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 7/22/2025: 5-4 NYY (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 7/21/2025: 4-1 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/3/2025: 8-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/2/2025: 11-9 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/1/2025: 12-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 6/30/2025: 5-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)

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