Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction, Odds, Moneyline, Spread & Over/Under for ALDS Game 1 on Oct. 4

Odds updated as of 12:12 a.m.

The MLB slate on Saturday includes the Toronto Blue Jays facing the New York Yankees for Game 1 of the ALDS.

Before you do any MLB betting on this matchup at FanDuel Sportsbook, here's everything you need to know.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Game Info

• Toronto Blue Jays (94-68) vs. New York Yankees (94-68)
• Date: Saturday, October 4, 2025
• Time: 4:08 p.m. ET
• Venue: Rogers Centre -- Toronto, Ontario
• Coverage: FOX

Blue Jays vs Yankees Odds & Moneyline

• All MLB odds, betting lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: TOR: (-124) | NYY: (+106)
• Spread: TOR: -1.5 (+172) | NYY: +1.5 (-210)
• Total: 7.5 -- Over: (-128) | Under: (+104)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Probable Starting Pitchers

Probable Pitchers: Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays) - 10-11, 3.59 ERA vs Luis Gil (Yankees) - 0-0, 0.00 ERA

The probable pitchers are Kevin Gausman (10-11, 3.59 ERA) for the Blue Jays and Luis Gil for the Yankees. Gausman and his team are 15-17-0 ATS this season when he starts. Gausman's team has won 41.2% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-10). Gil's team was never a moneyline underdog a season ago in games he pitched.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction & Pick

All MLB win probability predictions and picks are according to numberFire.
Prediction: Yankees win (53.8%)

Blue Jays vs Yankees Moneyline

• New York is a +106 underdog on the moneyline, while Toronto is a -124 favorite at home.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Spread

• The Yankees are at +1.5 on the runline against the Blue Jays. The Yankees are -210 to cover the spread, and the Blue Jays are +172.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Over/Under

• An over/under of 7.5 has been set for Blue Jays-Yankees on Oct. 4, with the over being -128 and the under +104.

Bet on Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees on FanDuel today!

Blue Jays vs Yankees Betting Trends

• The Blue Jays have come away with 49 wins in the 83 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
• Toronto has a record of 46-26 in contests when bookmakers favor them by -124 or more on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays and their opponents have hit the over in 86 of their 161 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 161 games with a line this season, the Blue Jays have a mark of 92-69-0 against the spread.
• The Yankees have won 35% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (7-13).
• New York is 4-6 (winning 40% of its games) when playing as a moneyline underdog of +106 or longer.
• The Yankees have played in 163 games with an over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-81-6).
• The Yankees have covered 47.2% of their games this season, going 77-86-0 against the spread.

Blue Jays Player Leaders

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks while batting .292. He has an on-base percentage of .381 and a slugging percentage of .467.
• Among qualified hitters in MLB, he ranks 12th in batting average, sixth in on-base percentage, and 41st in slugging.
• George Springer leads the Blue Jays in OBP (.397) and total hits (153) this season. He's batting .307 while slugging .556.
• He is fourth in batting average, second in on-base percentage and fifth in slugging among qualifying hitters.
• Springer enters this game looking to extend his four-game hit streak. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a double, two home runs, four walks and four RBIs.
• Ernie Clement has 151 hits this season and has a slash line of .277/.313/.398.
• Clement has logged a hit or more in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .294 with two doubles, a walk and three RBIs.
• Alejandro Kirk has 15 home runs, 76 RBI and a batting average of .282 this season.
• Kirk enters this matchup on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with a double, three home runs, a walk and seven RBIs.

Yankees Player Leaders

• Aaron Judge has accumulated 179 hits with a .457 on-base percentage and a .688 slugging percentage, all club-highs for the Yankees. He's batting .331.
• Including all qualified players, he is first in batting average, while his on-base percentage is first and he is first in slugging.
• Cody Bellinger is hitting .272 with 25 doubles, five triples, 29 home runs and 57 walks. He's slugging .480 with an on-base percentage of .334.
• He is currently 36th in batting average, 61st in on-base percentage and 29th in slugging percentage among all qualifying hitters.
• Trent Grisham has nine doubles, a triple, 34 home runs and 82 walks while hitting .235.
• Ben Rice has 28 doubles, four triples, 26 home runs and 50 walks while hitting .255.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Head to Head

• 9/7/2025: 4-3 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -180, Underdog Moneyline: +152)
• 9/6/2025: 3-1 NYY (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 10, Favorite Moneyline: -138, Underdog Moneyline: +118)
• 9/5/2025: 7-1 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -126, Underdog Moneyline: +108)
• 7/23/2025: 8-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)
• 7/22/2025: 5-4 NYY (Favorite: Blue Jays, Spread: -1.5, Total: 9, Favorite Moneyline: -112, Underdog Moneyline: -104)
• 7/21/2025: 4-1 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -120, Underdog Moneyline: +102)
• 7/3/2025: 8-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/2/2025: 11-9 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -130, Underdog Moneyline: +110)
• 7/1/2025: 12-5 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 7.5, Favorite Moneyline: -164, Underdog Moneyline: +138)
• 6/30/2025: 5-4 TOR (Favorite: Yankees, Spread: -1.5, Total: 8.5, Favorite Moneyline: -142, Underdog Moneyline: +120)

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