Best Home Run Bet for Today: FanDuel Daily Dinger Pick for Monday, August 3, 2026

Daily Dinger Home Run Pick

• Yordan Alvarez (+290)

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For today, who should you pick to hit a home run?

MLB odds via FanDuel Sportsbook and may change throughout the day after this article is published. All stats come from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless noted otherwise.

Best Home Run Pick Today, Daily Dinger

Yordan Alvarez to Hit a Home Run (+290)

Blue Jays at Astros, 8:11 p.m. ET

Things are not going well for Shane Bieber in his return from injury, and that makes Yordan Alvarez a great home run pick.

Through 31.1 innings this season, Bieber owns a 5.48 SIERA and 15.6% K rate. He’s giving up 2.01 jacks per nine, and last time out, he was tagged for four earned runs while not getting out of the first inning.

The AL MVP favorite, Yordan is crushing it in every split this season, and he’s at his best with the platoon advantage, mauling RHPs to the tune of a .478 wOBA, 54.3% hard-hit rate and 49.6% fly-ball rate.

Despite these short odds, Yordan is my favorite HR pick today.

Frequently Asked Questions

What does +310 mean on an MLB home run prop bet?

A +310 line means a $100 bet returns $310 in profit if the player homers. You can bet any amount — a $10 bet at +310 returns $31 in profit. The number reflects the implied probability the sportsbook assigns to the event (roughly 24% for +310 odds).

What happens to my FanDuel HR prop if the player doesn't start?

FanDuel's policy is that a HR prop bet will not be voided if the player records at least one at-bat — even as a pinch hitter. If they don't get any at-bat, the bet is typically voided. Always check FanDuel's official terms before placing your wager.

Can I parlay home run props together on FanDuel?

Yes. FanDuel allows you to parlay multiple HR props as a standard parlay or as part of a Same Game Parlay (SGP) within a single game. All legs must win for the parlay to pay out.

What factors matter most when betting MLB home run props?

Some of the most important factors are: the hitter's recent HR rate and raw power profile, the opposing pitcher's home run rate allowed, ballpark dimensions and park factors, wind direction and game-time temperature, and batter-vs-pitcher handedness splits.

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Which home run props stand out to you today? Check out FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds to see the full menu of options.

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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.