Auburn vs Mississippi State College Basketball Prediction, Odds, Picks, Best Bets for SEC Tournament

The No. 12 seed Auburn Tigers (16-15, 7-11 SEC) take on the No. 13 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-18, 5-13 SEC) in the SEC tournament Wednesday at Bridgestone Arena, beginning at 3 p.m. ET. Both teams will look to take one step closer to earning an automatic place in the NCAA Tournament.

Before you place your bet on this game at FanDuel Sportsbook, here are the NCAA basketball odds and spreads you need to know.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Game Info and Odds

• Game day: Wednesday, March 11, 2026
• Game time: 3 p.m. ET
• TV channel: SEC Network
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee
• Arena: Bridgestone Arena

Before you bet on Wednesday's Auburn-Mississippi State spread (Auburn -7.5) or over/under (159.5 points), check out the betting trends and insights below.

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Auburn vs. Mississippi State: ATS Betting Stats and Trends

• Auburn has put together a 13-18-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Mississippi State is 10-21-0 ATS this year.
• Auburn covers the spread when it is a 7.5-point favorite or more 55.6% of the time. That's more often than Mississippi State covers as an underdog of 7.5 or more (25%).
• At home, the Tigers own a better record against the spread (7-8-0) compared to their ATS record on the road (3-7-0).
• The Bulldogs have performed better against the spread on the road (5-5-0) than at home (4-12-0) this year.
• Against the spread, in conference games, Auburn is 5-13-0 this season.
• Mississippi State's SEC record against the spread is 6-12-0.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State: Moneyline Betting Stats

• Auburn has come away with 13 wins in the 20 contests it has been listed as the moneyline favorite in this season.
• This year, the Tigers have won seven of eight games when listed as at least -360 or better on the moneyline.
• Mississippi State has won 23.5% of the games this season it was the moneyline underdog (4-13).
• The Bulldogs have a record of 1-5 in games they have played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +280 or longer (16.7%).
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Auburn has a 78.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Auburn vs. Mississippi State Head-to-Head Comparison

• Auburn was the 13th-best squad in the nation in points scored (83 per game) and 87th in points conceded (69.4) last year.
• At 34.4 rebounds per game and 29.7 rebounds conceded, Auburn was 53rd and 82nd in the nation, respectively, last season.
• Last season Auburn was ranked 34th in the nation in assists with 16.1 per game.
• Auburn was the 12th-best team in the country in turnovers per game (9.1) and 184th in turnovers forced (11.2) last season.
• Mississippi State ranked 47th in the nation last season with 79.5 points per game. At the other end of the court, it ranked 245th with 74.2 points allowed per contest.
• Mississippi State grabbed 35.2 rebounds per game (28th-ranked in college basketball) last season, while allowing 32.8 rebounds per contest (283rd-ranked).
• Mississippi State ranked 69th in college basketball with 15.2 dimes per contest.
• Mississippi State was 98th in the nation with 10.3 turnovers per game last season. Meanwhile, it ranked 67th with 12.6 forced turnovers per contest.

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